0842 GMT - Physical oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz rather than military escalations will determine oil prices, Phillip Nova analyst Priyanka Sachdeva says in a note. After shipping activity through the Strait has already fallen sharply, oil prices are vulnerable to sharp moves in both directions, she notes. However, if tanker traffic continues and crude flows remain relatively resilient, the geopolitical premium can fade quickly, the analyst says. "Any evidence of a sustained blockage, attacks on tankers or disruption to loading terminals would fundamentally change the equation," she adds. Front-month West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures rose 2.7% to $85.63 per barrel and front-month Brent crude oil futures added 2.7% to $90.50 a barrel.
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