SpaceX Stock Can Gain Nearly 50%, New Bull Says

Dow Jones11:00

SpaceX stock rose on Tuesday after getting a new Buy rating.

Shares of Elon Musk’s rocket and artificial-intelligence company didn’t go straight up, but ended the day at $153.47, up 3.7%, while the S&P 500 index and Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.6% and 1.2%, respectively.

The move came after Pivotal Research Group analyst Jeffrey Wlodarczak launched coverage of SpaceX stock with a Buy rating and $220 price target.

That target values SpaceX at about $3 trillion, up 50% from recent levels. The valuation rests mainly on the development of Starship, SpaceX’s huge, fully reusable rocket. Starship could cut the cost to reach orbit by 90%. Lower costs enable new applications, such as AI data centers in space, while enhancing existing offerings, such as Starlink, SpaceX’s space-based broadband product.

“If Elon Musk can solve for this fundamental [rapid reusability] issue, it potentially drives down the cost of launches to space to the equivalent of terrestrial freight, opening up an unarguably massive opportunity,” wrote Wlodarczak.

His $220 price target assumes SpaceX is eventually flying each Starship rocket up to 50 times.

Starship isn’t flying commercially yet. Test flight number 14 is expected later this month. Starship could be flying commercial payloads as soon as this year, though 2027 is more likely.

The new rocket and its lower costs are key to many Wall Street ratings. Overall, 76% of analysts covering the company rate its shares Buy, according to FactSet. The average Buy-rating ratio for S&P 500 stocks typically ranges from 55% to 60%. The average analyst price target for SpaceX stock is about $226, a little higher than Wlodarczak’s mark.

Coming into Tuesday’s trading, SpaceX stock was up about 10% from its June $135 initial public offering price. That modest move belies the early volatility. Shares have traded above $225 and below $105. SpaceX stock rose almost 5% this past week, its second consecutive weekly gain.

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