Malaysia Oil and Gas Re-Rating Hinges on Domestic Job Flows

Dow Jones09-08 09:26

0126 GMT - Malaysia oil and gas sector is trading below their historical valuation levels, at 10X forward price-to-earnings, Affin Hwang IB analyst Ong Tze Hern says in a note. However, scope for a broad-based re-rating could remain limited until domestic job flows improve, he says. Near-term oil prices should stay supported by prolonged Middle East disruptions, prompting him to raise 2026 Brent forecast to $85/bbl from $81/bbl. But current oil price strength is unlikely to mark a structural upcycle, with Brent expected at $70/bbl in 2027 as Middle East supply normalizes. Resolving the Petronas-Petros issue and recovering Petronas capital expenditure could be more meaningful catalysts for domestic oil and gas services. Affin Hwang maintains a neutral sector's rating, pegging Dialog and Bumi Armada as top picks.

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Near-term oil prices should stay supported by prolonged Middle East disruptions, prompting him to raise 2026 Brent forecast to $85/bbl from $81/bbl. But current oil price strength is unlikely to mark a structural upcycle, with Brent expected at $70/bbl in 2027 as Middle East supply normalizes. Resolving the Petronas-Petros issue and recovering Petronas capital expenditure could be more meaningful catalysts for domestic oil and gas services. 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