1011 ET - Bank of America lifts its oil price estimates as strikes resume in the Persian Gulf, threatening further supply disruptions. "Renewed military tensions between the U.S. and Iran, including attacks on oil tankers, have kept uncertainty and volatility elevated," analysts at BofA Global Research say in a note. They see Brent crude averaging $83 a barrel in the second half of this year and $75 a barrel in 2027. Previously they expected Brent in a $70-$80 range in 2H26 and to average $70 in 2027.They still expect a gradual normalization of Strait of Hormuz flows, but "if skirmishes curbing oil flows continue into year-end, Brent could trade in a $95-$120/barrel range."
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