Morning Minute: Clarity Act Odds Slump After Democrat Pushback

Decrypt09-15 14:05

Morning Minute is a daily newsletter written by Tyler Warner. The analysis and opinions expressed are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of Decrypt. And check out our daily news show 'FOMO ...

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The analysis and opinions expressed are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of Decrypt. And check out our daily news show 'FOMO ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://decrypt.co//378230/morning-minute-clarity-act-odds-slump-after-democrat-pushback\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"ETU","symbol_name":"T-Rex 2X Long Ether Daily Target ETF","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://decrypt.co//378230/morning-minute-clarity-act-odds-slump-after-democrat-pushback","article_id":"2667628186","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://img.decrypt.co/insecure/rs:fit:3840:0:0:0/plain/https://cdn.decrypt.co/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/US-Capitol-decrypt-style-02-gID_7.png@webp"],"rights":{"source":"decrypt_highlight","url":"https://decrypt.co//378230/morning-minute-clarity-act-odds-slump-after-democrat-pushback","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2667628186","pubTimestamp":1789452347,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"decrypt_highlight","name":"Decrypt"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"The odds of the Clarity Act passing have fully reversed their recent move, and crypto majors have reversed alongside. 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The analysis and opinions expressed are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of Decrypt. And check out our daily news show 'FOMO HOUR' covering all of the top stories and market action.GM!Today’s top news:\nCrypto majors retrace as Clarity Act odds fall; BTC at $77k\nDemocrats push back on Clarity ethics provisions, odds fall to 18%\nStrategy buys $139M of STRC and no Bitcoin; Strive buys $36M\nRobinhood says in-kind redemption and voting coming for tokenized stocks\nRobinhood onchain leaders jump after Vlad comments; Standard sees big debut\n🏛️ Democrats Balk on Ethics as the Clarity Act VotesVirginia Senator Mark Warner said Monday afternoon that the new ethics language isn’t close, and Polymarket’s odds on the Clarity Act becoming law this year fell from an overnight high near 35% to 18%. The Senate votes on whether to take up the bill today at 2:15 p.m. ET.Senator Warner acknowledged movement on the bill, but then said the same three issues have been outstanding for six or eight weeks and asked why they couldn’t have been dealt with earlier. Senator Adam Schiff went further, telling Politico the provisions “don’t go far enough” and would likely not apply in current form to the Trump family, covering federal employees other than the president.Myriad: Will Congress pass the Clarity Act? Click to make your prediction.Then Senate Democrats scheduled an evening meeting to coordinate a counterproposal to the text Republicans released Sunday night, which the GOP had called its last, best, and final offer.Lummis went public with the frustration, saying Democrats simply won’t vote yes “no matter what we put in the text.” Her other argument is more interesting: Democrats secured more than 100 changes including self-custody protections, a best execution requirement, and a new Office of the Retail Commodity Advocate. If the bill dies, those die with it.As for the vote, cloture needs 60 to move forward. Republicans hold 53 with at least two expected no, so roughly nine Democrats have to cross. Gillibrand, who spent August as the loudest ethics holdout, is reportedly telling colleagues to vote yes and keep negotiating on the floor.Gallego and Alsobrooks, who advanced the bill in committee in May on the understanding ethics would improve, have said nothing. Separately, eight banking trade groups wrote Monday demanding tighter stablecoin rewards limits, opening a second front.So headed into the big day, it looks like the bill is a major long shot to pass. Let’s see if a crypto miracle can happen…🌎 Macro Crypto and Markets\nCrypto majors are red as Clarity Act odds fall back; BTC -1% at $77k; ETH -1% at $2,480; SOL -1% at $101; HYPE -1% at $79; ZEC +1% at $1,140\nTop alt movers include PONS (+12%), Uni (+7%) and AVAX (+2%)\nOil even at $103; Gold -0.2% at $4,322\nStock futures are red as the 10-year hits a 19-year high; DOW -0.2%, Nasdaq -0.1%\nRobinhood said in-kind redemption and voting are coming to its stock tokens after the AMC fight, with Brian Armstrong saying voting is coming to Coinbase’s tokenized stocks too, which already support 1:1 redemption and dividends\nMetaMask rolled out new scam protections flagging lookalike addresses, first-time recipients, and investment or romance scams, plus an Added Protection feature that automatically reverts transactions not matching their previews\nBernstein said a positive Clarity Act surprise is \"definitely not priced in\" after Republicans conceded on ethics enforcement and community-bank deposits, while TD Cowen held its odds at 25% and Beacon Policy Advisors raised its estimate to 30% to 40%\nSix wallets holding World Liberty insider tokens entered a vesting contract in May, burning 10% on entry and setting a two-year cliff, giving the roughly $800 million stake matching Trump's disclosed allocation its first path sale\nKaiko extended its Series B to $110 million in a round led by S&P Global with BNP Paribas, Nasdaq, RBC, Coinbase Ventures, and Stellar, to build data infrastructure for round-the-clock tokenized markets\nCoinEx is winding down after nearly nine years, blaming thin volumes and rising compliance costs, with spot trading ending September 29 and withdrawals open through December 22\nCorporate Treasuries & ETFs\nThe Bitcoin ETFs saw $160M in net inflows on Monday; the ETH ETFs saw $121M in inflows and continue to outpace on a market-cap-adjusted basis\nStrategy repurchased $139.3 million of STRC and bought no Bitcoin for a second straight week, holding at 845,050 BTC while USD Cash fell to $1.30 billion from $1.44 billion\nStrive bought 469 BTC for $36.6 million at an average of $77,954, reaching an even 25,000 coins\nBitmine added $68 million in Ethereum as Tom Lee pointed to more upside catalysts, continuing its weekly accumulation toward a 5% supply target\nMeme Coin Tracker\nMeme leaders were slighly red; DOGE -1%, SHIB -1%, PEPE +1%, PENGU -1%, TRUMP -1%, SPX -2%\nRobinhood chain leaders were green after Vlad Tenev confirmed tokenized stock voting rights are coming; Pons +12% to $440M; AI +22% at $300M; Cashcat +3% at $154M; new launch Standard soared to $54M, BONER +40% and Shroom +80% led top movers\nSolana top movers were led by Biketyson +40%, Wetcoin (+38x) and Stonk10 (+290%)\n💰 Token, Airdrop & Protocol Tracker\nPumpfun booked $9.27 million in protocol fees last week and burned $4.37 million of PUMP, bringing cumulative buybacks to $446 million, or 16.4% of total supply\nHyperliquid led in protocol revenue on the day with $2.19M, followed by Pump at $1.44M, Pons at $1.05M and Stonkfun at $588k\n🚚 What is happening in NFTs?\nNFT leaders were mixed; Punks -1% at 29.3 ETH, BAYC +2% at 6.8 ETH, Pudgy -2% at 3.36 ETH\nOCH Ringbearer (+70%) and OTC Desks (+60%) led top movers\nDaily Debrief NewsletterStart every day with the top news stories right now, plus original features, a podcast, videos and more.Your EmailGet it!Get it!","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.50.0","shortVersion":"4.50.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2667628186","isCrawlerRequest":true}