Dollar Likely to Extend Gains on Fed Rate-Rise Prospects

Dow Jones19:24

1124 GMT - The dollar's strength should persist until next year, supported by expectations the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates further, Morgan Stanley strategists say in a note. Rate pricing should remain at least as elevated as current levels, they say. Continued U.S. economic resilience and/or persistently high energy prices could prompt a further increase in pricing, they say. Moreover, euro-negative risk premium could increase. "The French Presidential election in spring 2027 remains a key event risk for European macro, while investors increasingly discuss risks of elections in Germany and Italy as well." Morgan Stanley expects the DXY dollar index to rise to 104.000 and the euro to fall to $1.10 by mid-2027, from current levels of 101.047 and $1.1397, respectively.

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