Asian stocks rise, bonds steady before PCE data

Anand Krishnamoorthy / Bloomberg09-30

Asian stocks gained for the first time in three sessions as easing oil-market concerns helped stem a bruising bond sell-off ahead of a crucial US inflation reading.(Sept 30): Asian stocks gained for ...

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The dollar was set for its best month since June.\nThe MSCI Asia Pacific Index advanced 0.4%, led by technology companies after a key gauge of US semiconductor shares rose. US equity-index futures also edged up.\nBonds remained in focus after yields on the longest-dated Treasuries reached their highest since 2002 in the New York session. The benchmark 10-year steadied in early Asian trading following losses earlier this week, when a rally in oil prompted traders to price in further interest-rate hikes by the Federal Reserve (Fed).\nHelping sentiment was Tuesday's decline in oil, with global benchmark Brent falling 2.6% to settle below US$103 a barrel. The drop came as Saudi Arabia was said to have restored about half the capacity of its East-West pipeline following drone attacks. The Trump administration also ordered another release from emergency reserves as US-Iran talks remained deadlocked. Prices rebounded 0.3% on Wednesday.\nOil prices and US-Iran tensions remain key sources of uncertainty, with markets looking for clearer signs of progress in negotiations after conflicting signals in recent days. Global bond yields have climbed to multi-year highs as elevated energy costs threaten to keep inflation persistent and reinforce expectations for further Fed interest-rate hikes.\n\"The sell-off in bonds can stop for one of the following reasons: a quick resolution of the US-Iran conflict, a material fall in stock prices driven by a slowdown in hard economic data, or lower earnings and forward guidance,\" said Arjun Vij, a portfolio manager at JPMorgan Asset Management. \nYields on the Treasury's longest-dated bond rose for a sixth straight day on Tuesday as investors demanded greater compensation to hold bonds amid concerns about persistent inflation, government spending and a surge in corporate borrowing to finance the artificial-intelligence buildout. \nTraders are ramping up bets that Treasury yields will keep climbing from their current roughly two-decade highs, raising the risk of an abrupt unwind of those positions on any sign of a marked economic cooling.\nMoney markets are pricing a series of rate hikes over the next year.\nElsewhere, China unveiled mortgage subsidies and changes to bank lending policies, stepping up efforts to support an economy losing momentum.\nIn other corners of the market, gold was a touch weaker at US$4,175 an ounce.\nA Bloomberg gauge of the dollar steadied on Wednesday, wrapping up its best month since June as the Fed's renewed focus on taming inflation pushed rate expectations and US bond yields higher.\nThe Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index has risen 1.9% in September, touching the highest level in two months. \nMeanwhile, New York Fed President John Williams said another interest-rate hike \"late this year\" may be appropriate to help bring inflation down, though he added there was no urgency to act after the central bank raised rates earlier this month.\nOther policymakers also kept the prospect of further hikes in focus. Fed governor Michael Barr repeated his warning that more increases may be needed to slow inflation, while Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee said the central bank must respond to supply shocks.\nAlongside signals from Fed officials, investors assessed data showing US consumer confidence fell in September to its lowest since 2014 as views of the economy and labour market deteriorated. Job openings declined in August, pointing to softer hiring demand, while layoffs remained subdued.\nThe next data point is Wednesday's Bureau of Economic Analysis' personal consumption expenditures reading, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. August's personal income and outlays report should show an acceleration in monthly headline and core inflation, according to Bloomberg Economics.\nUpside surprises would reinforce the Fed's hawkish stance and support the case for further tightening, wrote Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade. Softer numbers, however, could raise questions about the need for a follow-up rate hike in October and potentially take some of the steam out of the recent rise in Treasury yields.\n\"Between the oil price, bond yields and key US inflation and jobs data, there is plenty of things to keep an eye on for the rest of the week,\" Waterer wrote.\nCorporate highlights:\n\nOpenAI aims to raise at least US$30 billion ($38.34 billion) from investors in a new round of funding, according to people familiar with the matter, after the AI startup pushed back its plans for an initial public offering.\nApple Inc chief executive officer John Ternus is moving to overhaul the iPhone maker in an effort to accelerate product development, broaden its range of devices and create a leaner organisation with a greater focus on engineering.\nParamount Skydance Corp is promising to cut US$6 billion in costs within three years as it looks to lock in lenders for its blockbuster Warner Bros Discovery Inc acquisition.\nAnthropic PBC warned that its technology poses \"catastrophic or existential risks to humanity\" and mapped out plans to spend hundreds of billions of dollars in its prospectus, Reuters reported.\n\nSome of the main moves in markets:\nStocks\n\nS&P 500 futures rose 0.1% as of 10.09am Tokyo time\nHang Seng futures fell 0.3%\nJapan's Topix rose 0.5%\nAustralia's S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.2%\nEuro Stoxx 50 futures rose 0.5%\n\nCurrencies\n\nThe Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed\nThe euro was little changed at US$1.1336\nThe Japanese yen rose 0.1% to 157.11 per dollar\nThe offshore yuan was little changed at 6.7073 per dollar\nThe Australian dollar was little changed at US$0.6989\n\nCryptocurrencies\n\nBitcoin fell 0.2% to US$83,406.63\nEther fell 0.7% to US$2,671.19\n\nBonds\n\nThe yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 5.24%\nJapan's 10-year yield advanced one basis point to 3.095%\nAustralia's 10-year yield advanced one basis point to 5.38%\n\nCommodities\n\nWest Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.2% to US$89.56 a barrel\nSpot gold fell 0.2% to US$4,175.32 an ounce\n\nUploaded by Chng Shear Lane","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"economic","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.50.1","shortVersion":"4.50.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2671200893","isCrawlerRequest":true}