Newmont (NEM) Could Be 31% Undervalued On Record Free Cash Flow And Gold Price Swings

Simply Wall St.10-01 06:22

Newmont (NEM) is back in focus after a sharp move in gold prices pulled the stock lower, even as the miner reported record free cash flow and kept major growth projects moving forward. That pullback ...

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That pullback ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/materials/nyse-nem/newmont/news/newmont-nem-could-be-31-undervalued-on-record-free-cash-flow\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Newmont (NEM) Could Be 31% Undervalued On Record Free Cash Flow And Gold Price Swings</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNewmont (NEM) Could Be 31% Undervalued On Record Free Cash Flow And Gold Price Swings\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-10-01 06:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/materials/nyse-nem/newmont/news/newmont-nem-could-be-31-undervalued-on-record-free-cash-flow><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Newmont (NEM) is back in focus after a sharp move in gold prices pulled the stock lower, even as the miner reported record free cash flow and kept major growth projects moving forward. That pullback ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/materials/nyse-nem/newmont/news/newmont-nem-could-be-31-undervalued-on-record-free-cash-flow\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0456854461.SGD","symbol_name":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Natural Resources A (acc) SGD","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/materials/nyse-nem/newmont/news/newmont-nem-could-be-31-undervalued-on-record-free-cash-flow","article_id":"2672264738","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://simplywall.st/cdn-cgi/image/fit=cover,format=auto,width=320,height=180/https://images.simplywall.st/asset/company-cover/291795-card/1788953020689"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/materials/nyse-nem/newmont/news/newmont-nem-could-be-31-undervalued-on-record-free-cash-flow","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2672264738","pubTimestamp":1790806972,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Newmont (NEM) is back in focus after a sharp move in gold prices pulled the stock lower, even as the miner reported record free cash flow and kept major growth projects moving forward.\nThat pullback lines up with a 1-day share price return of down 1.49% and a 7-day share price move of down 6.65%, even though Newmont has delivered a 90-day share price gain of 18.86% and a 1-year total shareholder return of 35.45%. Shorter term momentum is cooling, while the longer record, including a 5-year...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0456854461.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Natural Resources A (acc) SGD","LU0300736492.USD":"FRANKLIN NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0612318971.USD":"BGF NATURAL RESOURCES \"A5G\" (USD) INC","AUAU":"Global X Gold Miners ETF","NEMG":"2倍做多NEM ETF-Leverage Shares","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0300736062.USD":"FRANKLIN NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) ACC","NEM":"纽曼矿业","GDMN":"WisdomTree Efficient Gold Plus Gold Miners Strategy Fund","LU0345780521.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL GOLD \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0330918003.SGD":"Blackrock World Mining A2 SGD-H","LU0498741114.HKD":"FRANKLIN GOLD & PRECIOUS METALS \"A\" (HKD) ACC","FMTL":"First Trust Indxx Critical Metals ETF","LU0345781412.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0630314457.HKD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2462611646.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS REAL ASSETS TARGET INCOME \"A2\" (USD) INC MTI","LU0612318385.USD":"BGF NATURAL RESOURCES \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0345780281.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL GOLD \"A\"  ACC","LU2498475776.HKD":"AMUNDI FUNDS REAL ASSETS TARGET INCOME \"A2\" (HKD) INC","LU1223082519.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL GOLD \"A\" (USD) INC AV","LU0266512127.USD":"摩根大通环球自然资源 A(acc)","LU0788108826.HKD":"BGF WORLD GOLD \"A2\" (HKDHGD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","LU0368265764.SGD":"Blackrock World Gold Fund A2 SGD-H","LU0498741890.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Gold and Precious Metals A (acc) SGD","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z3581.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc USD","BK4017":"黄金","LU0496367417.USD":"富兰克林黄金和贵金属A（acc）","TRUM":"VanEck Materials TruSector ETF","LU0724618789.USD":"BGF WORLD GOLD \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU1223083913.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Gold A Acc SGD-H","SG9999001143.SGD":"United Gold and General A Acc SGD","LU0055631609.USD":"贝莱德世界黄金基金A2","LU1223082196.USD":"施罗德环球黄金A Acc","LU0788109121.HKD":"BGF WORLD MINING \"A2\" (HKDHGD) ACC","LU0278409577.USD":"MANULIFE GLOBAL FUND-GLOBAL RESOURCES FUND \"AA\" (USD) INC","LU0075056555.USD":"贝莱德世界矿业基金A2","AGMI":"Themes Silver Miners ETF","LU1430597077.USD":"BGF NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","LU1280957306.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQUITIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0266512473.USD":"JPM GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"C\" (USD) ACC","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","SLVP":"iShares MSCI Global Silver and Metals Miners ETF","LU0345780950.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1883866441.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS REAL ASSETS TARGET INCOME \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU1023059493.AUD":"Blackrock World Mining A2 AUD-H","LU0654597011.USD":"BGF NATURAL RESOURCES \"A4G\" (USD) INC","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","NWMX":"Tradr 2X Long NEM Daily ETF"},"translate_title":"由于创纪录的自由现金流和金价波动，纽蒙特 (NEM) 的估值可能被低估 31%","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"TRUM":0.6,"NEM":1.98,"GDMN":0.6,"NWMX":0.6,"FMTL":0.6,"AUAU":0.6,"NEMG":0.6,"AGMI":0.6,"SLVP":0.6},"content_text":"Newmont (NEM) is back in focus after a sharp move in gold prices pulled the stock lower, even as the miner reported record free cash flow and kept major growth projects moving forward. That pullback lines up with a 1-day share price return of down 1.49% and a 7-day share price move of down 6.65%, even though Newmont has delivered a 90-day share price gain of 18.86% and a 1-year total shareholder return of 35.45%. Shorter term momentum is cooling, while the longer record, including a 5-year total shareholder return of 142.72%, still reflects investors rewarding the company’s cash generation and project pipeline. Compare Newmont's recent pullback and cash generation with a curated group of peers by scanning the 36 elite gold producer stocks now that gold price swings are back in the spotlight. That mix of record free cash flow and a sharp pullback in Newmont raises a simple tension. Are you seeing a crack in the business, or just sentiment resetting while the valuation case is unchanged? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 31% Undervalued At a last close of $115.34 against a widely followed fair value estimate of $168.00, Newmont screens as materially cheaper in that narrative. This view leans on higher margins, buybacks, and a richer project base to justify the gap.  The ongoing digitalization and automation of Newmont's core operations, combined with the deep technical talent bench and best-in-class asset reliability initiatives, is setting the stage for sustained productivity gains and production stability, materially improving long-term operating leverage and reducing earnings volatility.  See why 16 investors see Newmont as 31% undervalued. Result: Fair Value of $168.00 (UNDERVALUED) Still, Newmont’s reliance on gold pricing and exposure to lower ore grades at operations like Cadia and Peñasquito could quickly test this 31% undervaluation story. Find out about the key risks to this Newmont narrative. Another View: Newmont Through A Different Lens The bullish $168.00 fair value story leans on analyst forecasts and narrative assumptions, but the SWS DCF model tells a different story. On that cash flow view, Newmont at $115.34 screens as overvalued versus an estimated future cash flow value of $96.78. That gap shows how sensitive Newmont’s appeal can be to the inputs you trust most. If earnings play out closer to the DCF path than the optimistic scenario, today’s price could already be baking in a lot of the good news investors are hoping for. Before relying on any single outcome, it helps to understand how that cash flow view is built in the first place. You can do this by walking through the Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.. NEM Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Newmont for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 32 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity. Next Steps Mixed views remain on whether Newmont is signaling opportunity or risk after these moves and ongoing fair value debates. Consider acting before sentiment shifts again by walking through both sides of the story, starting with 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign. Looking For More Ideas Beyond Newmont? Round out your research by scanning other opportunities on Simply Wall St's screener so you do not miss ideas that fit your style and risk limits.  Target steadier compounding by reviewing the 7 dividend fortresses that focus on robust income potential backed by sizeable yields. Hunt for mispriced opportunities through the 32 high quality undervalued stocks that highlight companies with quality fundamentals at compressed valuations. Prioritise resilience by filtering companies in the 31 resilient stocks with low risk scores so your next pick balances upside with measured downside exposure.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Newmont might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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