Crypto week ahead: Bitcoin faces Fed, inflation, GDP tests

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Bitcoin has entered a critical week of U.S. economic announcements, with the Federal Reserve’s October 28 interest rate decision, inflation data, third-quarter GDP figures and major technology ...

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Approximately 20% of S&P 500 companies are expected to report results.\nBitcoin enters the week following a decline from $85,000, having touched a five-week low near $79,100 over the weekend. Traders are watching whether the upcoming announcements will support a recovery or add pressure to an already fragile market.\nFed rate decision puts Bitcoin’s $80,000 level in focus\nThe Federal Reserve will conclude its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday, October 28, with investors awaiting the interest rate decision and accompanying press conference.\nAt its September meeting, the central bank raised the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, citing persistent inflation despite solid economic activity and resilient domestic spending.\n\nKey Events This Week:1. September New Home Sales data – Tuesday2. October Fed Meeting and Rate Decision – Wednesday3. Microsoft, $MSFT, and Alphabet, $GOOGL, Report Earnings – Wednesday4. September PCE Inflation data – Thursday5. US Q3 2026 GDP Data – Thursday6.…— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October 25, 2026\n\nMarket expectations now favor keeping rates unchanged. However, the next decision remains uncertain, particularly after September inflation reports raised concerns about the possibility of further tightening in December.\nAs crypto.news previously examined the September hike, higher borrowing costs can place pressure on speculative assets, especially when Treasury yields climb and investors reduce exposure to risk.\nFor Bitcoin, Wednesday’s announcement will involve more than whether policymakers raise rates or leave them unchanged. Traders will examine the Fed’s language on inflation, economic growth and the conditions that could justify further rate adjustments.\nA cautious statement that leaves the prospect of another rate increase open could weigh on BTC. \nConversely, signals that policymakers are comfortable waiting for more economic evidence could improve sentiment.\nPCE inflation and GDP data arrive after the Fed meeting\nThursday, October 29, presents another test for Bitcoin, with the Bureau of Economic Analysis scheduled to publish September personal income and outlays alongside the advance estimate of third-quarter GDP.\nThe personal income report contains the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure. Both reports are scheduled for 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time.\nThe timing is significant because the September PCE figures will arrive one day after the central bank announces its policy decision.\nPreviously, an October Bitcoin price outlook identified the separate releases as potential sources of market volatility, with inflation readings capable of changing expectations for the December meeting.\nIf PCE inflation remains elevated while GDP shows resilient economic growth, investors may conclude that policymakers have room to keep borrowing costs restrictive.\nWeaker growth or cooling inflation could lead traders to reconsider the likely direction of rates, although neither outcome guarantees a Bitcoin rally.\nBefore those releases, the Census Bureau will publish September new home sales on Tuesday, October 27. The housing report provides another reading on consumer demand and activity in an interest-rate-sensitive part of the economy.\nBig Tech earnings could affect crypto market sentiment\nCorporate earnings will compete with economic data for investors’ attention throughout the second half of the week.\nMicrosoft and Alphabet are scheduled to release results on Wednesday, October 28, followed by Amazon and Intel on Thursday, October 29.\nInvestors are expected to examine cloud revenue, artificial intelligence spending, operating margins and management forecasts, following renewed concerns about technology valuations and the cost of developing AI infrastructure.\nMicrosoft’s results will arrive after Wednesday’s U.S. stock market close, while Alphabet has scheduled its earnings conference call for 4:30 p.m. Eastern Time.\nAmazon and Intel have confirmed Thursday earnings events, creating another concentrated period of corporate disclosures alongside the GDP and inflation reports.\nTechnology stocks have faced selling pressure during the past week, with concerns about AI spending contributing to weaker equity sentiment.\nFor crypto traders, the earnings announcements provide another source of potential market volatility when Bitcoin is already responding to changes in economic expectations.\nBitcoin price faces another test after weekend sell-off\nBitcoin’s latest decline followed its rejection near $85,000 during the previous week, with the price falling to approximately $79,100 on Saturday.\nThe $80,000 area has become an immediate reference point for traders, while 84,000–85,000 remains an overhead resistance zone following the recent unsuccessful recovery.\nA sustained move below the weekend low would leave Bitcoin exposed to further selling, while reclaiming the previous resistance area would require renewed buying interest.\nA separate Bitcoin market assessment published in October identified monetary policy, inflation readings and spot demand as factors affecting the asset’s recovery.\nThe Federal Reserve has scheduled the minutes of its October 27–28 meeting for November 18, followed by its final policy meeting of 2026 on December 8–9.\n\n\n  \n\n            Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.        \n\n\n\n\n\n\n                Read more:\n            \n\n                Who owns Bitcoin? Galaxy finds 55% of BTC supply remains unidentified","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.52.0","shortVersion":"4.52.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2678163101","isCrawlerRequest":true}