Bitcoin price faces second straight ‘Downtober’ as US spot demand weakens

cryptonews10-28 18:22

Bitcoin has remained on course for a second consecutive October loss, challenging its “Uptober” reputation as weakening U.S. spot demand offsets renewed purchases through exchange-traded funds ahead ...

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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin price faces second straight ‘Downtober’ as US spot demand weakens\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-10-28 18:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://crypto.news/bitcoin-second-straight-downtober-us-spot-demand/><strong>cryptonews</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Bitcoin has remained on course for a second consecutive October loss, challenging its “Uptober” reputation as weakening U.S. spot demand offsets renewed purchases through exchange-traded funds ahead ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://crypto.news/bitcoin-second-straight-downtober-us-spot-demand/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BITY","symbol_name":"Amplify Bitcoin 2% Monthly Option Income ETF","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://crypto.news/bitcoin-second-straight-downtober-us-spot-demand/","article_id":"2678946556","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"crypto_news_highlight","url":"https://crypto.news/bitcoin-second-straight-downtober-us-spot-demand/","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2678946556","pubTimestamp":1793182924,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"crypto_news_highlight","name":"Crypto News"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Bitcoin has remained on course for a second consecutive October loss, challenging its “Uptober” reputation as weakening U.S. spot demand offsets renewed purchases through exchange-traded funds ahead of the Federal Reserve’s October 28 decision.Bitcoin is heading toward a second consecutive losing October after declining 3.8% in October 2025.BTC lost 4.2% through October 25, compared with an average October gain of 18.1% during 2020–2025.CryptoQuant recorded a persistently negative Coinbase premium, indicating weak relative demand on the U.S. exchange.Spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $176 million on October 27, led by BlackRock’s $151.5 million IBIT inflow.Bitcoin’s Downtober threatens a five-year winning pattern. CryptoQuant’s latest findings point to a prolonged absence of U.S. buying pressure. Its Coinbase Premium Index, which compares Bitcoin prices on Coinbase with offshore venues, remained below zero throughout October and fell to minus 0.146 on October 24, its lowest reading since lat","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"crypto.news","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BITY":"Amplify Bitcoin 2% Monthly Option Income ETF","BTCO":"比特币ETF-Invesco Galaxy","BITB":"比特币ETF-Bitwise","CBOO":"Calamos Bitcoin Structured Alt Protection ETF - October","CBTO":"Calamos Bitcoin 80 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - October","BITC":"Bitwise Trendwise Bitcoin and Treasuries Rotation Strategy ETF","BFJL":"FT Vest Bitcoin Strategy Floor15 ETF - July","CBTY":"Calamos Bitcoin 80 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - July","FBTC":"比特币ETF-Fidelity","EZBC":"比特币ETF-Franklin","BTCW":"比特币ETF-Wisdom Tree","CBXA":"Calamos Bitcoin 90 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF – April","CBOY":"Calamos Bitcoin Structured Alt Protection ETF - July","BITI":"1倍做空比特币期货ETF-Proshares","BITO":"比特币期货ETF-ProShares","SBIT":"2倍做空比特币期货ETF-Proshares","CBXO":"Calamos Bitcoin 90 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - October","BTCC":"Grayscale Bitcoin HIGH Income ETF","BPI":"Grayscale Bitcoin Premium Income ETF","BFAP":"FT Vest Bitcoin Strategy Floor15 ETF - April","DFII":"FT Cboe Vest Bitcoin Strategy & Target Income ETF","BAGY":"Amplify Bitcoin Max Income Covered Call ETF","CBXY":"Calamos Bitcoin 90 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - July","GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale","CBOA":"Calamos Bitcoin Structured Alt Protection ETF - April","BITU":"2倍做多比特币期货ETF-Proshares","DEFI":"比特币期货ETF-Hashdex","ARKB":"比特币ETF-21Shares","CBOJ":"Calamos Bitcoin Structured Alt Protection ETF - January","CBTA":"Calamos Bitcoin 80 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF – April","BCCC":"Global X Bitcoin Covered Call ETF","XBTY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST Bitcoin ETF","HODL":"比特币ETF-VanEck"},"translate_title":"由于美国现货需求疲软，比特币价格面临连续第二次“下跌”","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"FBTC":0.6,"BTCC":0.6,"CBOJ":0.6,"BFJL":0.6,"GBTC":0.6,"SBIT":0.6,"HODL":0.6,"EZBC":0.6,"BITB":0.6,"BITO":0.6,"DFII":0.6,"BPI":0.6,"CBTY":0.6,"CBTO":0.6,"CBTA":0.6,"CBOA":0.6,"BITC":0.6,"CBOY":0.6,"BCCC":0.6,"CBOO":0.6,"BTCW":0.6,"BAGY":0.6,"BITY":0.6,"ARKB":0.6,"BTCO":0.6,"CBXO":0.6,"BITU":0.6,"BITI":0.6,"BFAP":0.6,"XBTY":0.6,"CBXA":0.6,"CBXY":0.6,"DEFI":0.6},"content_text":"Bitcoin has remained on course for a second consecutive October loss, challenging its “Uptober” reputation as weakening U.S. spot demand offsets renewed purchases through exchange-traded funds ahead of the Federal Reserve’s October 28 decision.\n\n\nSummary\n\n\n\nBitcoin is heading toward a second consecutive losing October after declining 3.8% in October 2025.\nBTC lost 4.2% through October 25, compared with an average October gain of 18.1% during 2020–2025.\nCryptoQuant recorded a persistently negative Coinbase premium, indicating weak relative demand on the U.S. exchange.\nSpot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $176 million on October 27, led by BlackRock’s $151.5 million IBIT inflow.\nCryptoQuant’s Bull Score Index fell from 90 to 60 ahead of the Fed decision and November elections\n\n\n\nAccording to crypto.news market data, Bitcoin price dropped from about $83,600 at September’s close to $79,200. BTC subsequently recovered toward $81,500 on Wednesday, reducing that earlier loss, although the final monthly result remains undecided with three calendar days left.\nThe cryptocurrency last closed October lower in 2025, when it lost approximately 3.8%. Another negative finish would make 2026 the second losing October in succession, following five years of gains that helped establish the seasonal nickname.\nBitcoin’s Downtober threatens a five-year winning pattern\nBitcoin advanced 27.6% in October 2020, 40% in 2021, 5.5% in 2022, 28.5% in 2023 and 10.9% in 2024, according to the historical figures cited in CryptoQuant’s report. The five positive years averaged 22.5%, although their individual returns varied considerably.\nIncluding the 2025 decline reduces the 2020–2025 October average to approximately 18.1%. That six-year average is a historical description, not a forecast, and the latest October has not yet closed.\nThe month began with Bitcoin near $83,567, following a strong third-quarter recovery. Bitfinex analysts had warned in a previous assessment that the strength of that recovery depended on new spot purchases, not simply short covering or futures positioning. As crypto.news previously reported on Bitcoin’s recovery, ETF subscriptions had already slowed considerably after September’s buying spree.\nCryptoQuant finds weak US demand despite ETF inflows\nCryptoQuant’s latest findings point to a prolonged absence of U.S. buying pressure. Its Coinbase Premium Index, which compares Bitcoin prices on Coinbase with offshore venues, remained below zero throughout October and fell to minus 0.146 on October 24, its lowest reading since late June.\nA negative premium indicates Coinbase buyers were paying less than offshore market participants, but it does not identify every American buyer or prove that all U.S. investors were selling.\nAccording to the firm’s demand estimates, apparent spot demand remained negative each day from October 14. The 30-day measure showed a shortfall of roughly 76,000 BTC by October 25, with buying insufficient to absorb available coin supply under CryptoQuant’s model.\nResearch head Julio Moreno said the firm’s Bull Score Index had declined from 90 to 60. Six of the model’s ten indicators remained bullish, however, suggesting deterioration in conditions without establishing a complete reversal.\n\n\"Uptober\" has dissapointed as:– Spot demand continued to contract, while US investors remained mostly on the sidelines.– Trader's took profits, while there's still gains to be realized. – Overall conditions became less bullish (Bull Score Index down from 90 to 60).Macro… pic.twitter.com/QbUm4twLEI— Julio Moreno (@jjcmoreno) October 27, 2026\n\nETF data offers a different perspective. U.S. spot Bitcoin funds attracted $176 million on October 27, according to SoSoValue data, with BlackRock’s IBIT accounting for $151.5 million and Fidelity’s FBTC for $24.5 million.\nThose purchases followed roughly $773.5 million in combined withdrawals on October 22 and 23. The distinction between positive ETF subscriptions and negative estimated spot demand has appeared before: an examination of fund flows found that billions in late-September ETF buying did not immediately turn CryptoQuant’s 30-day apparent demand measure positive.\nFed decision puts month-end Bitcoin price in focus\nBitcoin’s rebound has arrived ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve announcement, with investors awaiting guidance on the possibility of another interest-rate increase in December. The October 27–28 meeting precedes U.S. GDP and personal consumption expenditures inflation releases scheduled for Thursday.\nAn October market outlook identified $82,000 as a key level for Bitcoin entering the month. Its analysts expected institutional flows and inflation data to influence whether buyers could sustain the recovery, without relying on October’s historical record.\nCryptoQuant’s latest risk levels sit lower. Moreno identified the 365-day moving average near $77,585, the trader realized price around $74,041 and the 200-day moving average near $73,028 as reference points if Bitcoin weakens.\nThe firm’s report found that the premium of market price over the realized cost of one- to three-month holders narrowed from 33.4% on September 22 to 8.1% on October 26. That leaves a smaller unrealized profit cushion for those holders if prices decline.\nMarket commentator Crypto Warrior said the disappointing October did not settle Bitcoin’s direction for November. The next scheduled U.S. midterm elections fall on November 3, following the month’s final trading sessions.\n\n\n  \n\n            Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.        \n\n\n\n\n\n\n                Read more:\n            \n\n                Ripple has a national trust bank. RLUSD still has a different issuer","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.52.0","shortVersion":"4.52.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2678946556","isCrawlerRequest":true}