Bitcoin to hit new high in 2027 as four-year cycle ends, Flaum says

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Log Scale Investments CEO Mike Flaum has predicted Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high in 2027, rejecting the idea that its price still follows a dependable four-year cycle. Summary Flaum ...

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The discussion moved from whether the cycle was dead to the prospect of a new high before the next halving.\nBitcoin Magazine’s published chapter list places those sections at 18:48 and 20:31, respectively. The conversation formed part of a longer discussion about Strategy, Strive and the financing structures used by companies that hold Bitcoin.\nFlaum’s position challenges the view that Bitcoin’s halvings provide a reliable timetable for market peaks and declines. Under that framework, investors compare the current market with earlier periods when a halving preceded a bull-market high and a subsequent bear market.\nOther investment firms have questioned the same framework, although their explanations and forecasts differ.\nGalaxy’s latest Bitcoin view differs from its earlier warning\nGalaxy Research’s changing assessment shows how the evidence has developed during the year.\nIn a June 9 analysis, the firm argued that Bitcoin’s four-year cycle remained visible in market and on-chain data, even as price swings became smaller. Historical comparisons produced an illustrative base-case bottom between $40,000 and $46,000.\nAs crypto.news previously reported, Galaxy’s earlier cycle assessment found that only four of 13 historical bottom indicators had triggered.\nBy October, however, its head of firmwide research, Alex Thorn, had reached a more optimistic conclusion.\nIn research published Oct. 26 and originally circulated to clients on Oct. 22, Galaxy said it believed the bear market ended in June and Bitcoin had entered an accumulation phase.\nIts supporting evidence included Bitcoin holding its 200-week moving average and recovering its 50-week moving average for five consecutive weeks.\nThe firm identified conditions that could undermine that view, including a weekly close below the then-current 50-week average of $76,540 that was not recovered within a month.\nFidelity sees recovery signals but leaves room for caution\nFidelity has taken a more cautious approach to declaring the downturn finished.\nIts bear-market assessment said the recovery could represent either the start of a sustained advance or a temporary rally within a continuing bear market.\nSome investors were watching November 2026 because Bitcoin’s previous major bear-market bottom occurred in November 2022. Fidelity stressed that earlier cycles had never followed exact four-year schedules and could not reliably identify turning points.\nChris Kuiper, vice president of research at Fidelity Digital Assets, pointed to adoption occurring in waves and said longer holding periods had historically been more useful than trying to identify precise bottoms.\nThe firm’s Oct. 28 signals report described improving momentum, recovering profitability and participation across digital assets at the start of the fourth quarter.\nProfitability, sentiment and momentum indicators suggested conditions could be moving from recovery toward expansion. Mining economics, adoption, stablecoin activity and on-chain demand were still sending mixed signals, according to Fidelity.\nGrayscale puts economic conditions ahead of the halving calendar\nGrayscale research head Zach Pandl has offered a different explanation for Bitcoin’s price behavior.\nIn a July 22 analysis, Pandl contrasted the halving-led cycle theory with a framework centered on economic growth and inflation-adjusted interest rates.\nHe noted that past Bitcoin bear markets had coincided with weaker growth, rising real rates or both. Grayscale favored the view that Bitcoin was increasingly responding to the same economic forces that influence other major assets.\nPandl’s assessment was conditional: if the Federal Reserve avoided further rate hikes and economic growth held up, Bitcoin’s low might already have occurred.\n\n\n\n\n\n                Read more:\n            \n\n                Crypto points programs face backlash as users question rewards","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.52.1","shortVersion":"4.52.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2680674117","isCrawlerRequest":true}