Buy or Sell Alibaba?

Nobi
2021-05-18

Last week, we saw $BABA share price dropped 6.2% after the Chinese e-commerce giant reported its Q4 2021 financial results. In this post, I will share my opinion of Alibaba.

Alibaba Group posted an operating loss of 7.7 billion yuan; the first since the Group went public in 2014. The loss came after Alibaba was fined 18.2 billion yuan for engaging in monopolistic business practices.

As an investor, I ignore such one-off operating loss when calculating the intrinsic value of a company. I like the fact that Alibaba would have reported a 48% year on year increase in operating income without the fine.

On revenue, Alibaba reported 187.4 billion yuan (US$28.6illion) for Q4 2021; up 64% year on year.

A quick calculation of Alibaba's intrinsic value shows that the company has a fair value of US$319.26. At the time of this writing, the company trades at US$211.73. A 31.68% discount for the e-commerce retail giant looks pretty attractive.

Moreover, Alibaba has a wide business moat with several business sectors. It is not difficult to recognise more than 1 of them below.

While China's population is set to grow at about 6% per year for the next 10 years, Alibaba has to continue spending on innovation and acquisition in order to retain its market share. Rivals such as JD.com ($JD) and Meituan (HKSE 3690) are also investing heavily in the highly competitive retail space. Perhaps, Alibaba's future acquisitions and new innovations should also be a point to note in deciding whether or not to invest in the company.

I would definitely grab some of Alibaba at such attractive discount. This is only my opinion for sharing purpose. Investors should exercise caution and do your own due diligence before deciding whether to buy any shares. 

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • BlackTechAI
    2021-08-05
    BlackTechAI
    BABA short term upside $220-230. *Price target $265-$365 potential trillion $ empire and money machine actively planning ahead for growth and ploughing back into investment for future growth!
    • Nobi
      I have the same price target too! [得意] [得意] [得意]
  • CokeNBeer
    2021-05-20
    CokeNBeer
    $319, here we come!
    • Nobi
      To the moon! Patience [开心]
  • BlackTechAI
    2021-08-05
    BlackTechAI
    Hi Everyone, checkout my new post on my page on Banks' view on Regulations impact on Business! Fear or No Need to Fear?!
    • Nobi
      ok will check it out!
  • BlackTechAI
    2021-08-05
    BlackTechAI
    Let the stock rise to reinstate its worthy pricing alongside its big tech peers such a AMZN, FB, MSFT, GOOGL! ?
    • Nobi
      I'm bullish on FAAMG
  • wongsuyi
    2021-05-21
    wongsuyi
    agreed! i like the diversity it has under its name
    • Nobi
      I like the diversity too [开心]
  • 何安迪
    2021-05-18
    何安迪
    看好阿里巴巴 [666] [666]
    • Nobi
      [开心] [开心] [开心]
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