On top of strong earnings reports from $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ , $Wells Fargo(WFC)$ , $Delta Air Lines(DAL)$ and positive economic data from last week,US stocks rose. While judging from the results of financial stocks on last Friday, the results were mixed.
Positive: Large institutions such as $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ and $Wells Fargo(WFC)$ benefited from the boost in consumer business, and their performance exceeded analyst expectations. Among them, $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ Chase reported a 67% increase in second-quarter profit and see stock price hit new highs.
Nagative: $Citigroup(C)$ , which is more reliant on investment banking, its revenue declined 1% YoY. Citigroup Chief Executive Jane Fraser said a long-awaited rebound in investment banking didn't materialize, leading to poor quarterly results. Shares fell more than 4% in response.
Last week, however, earnings from $Delta Air Lines(DAL)$ , $Pepsi(PEP)$ , $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ and $Wells Fargo(WFC)$ all topped analysts' expectations, but stock prices were muted.
This week's key Focus:
Tuesday's earnings reports from $Bank of America(BAC)$ and $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ will provide more information on the state of the U.S. financial system following this spring's banking crisis. Analysts expect investment banking of these banks to decline compared to the first quarter 2023, with Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon's comments particularly noteworthy.
On Wednesday, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and $Netflix(NFLX)$ will become the first tech giants to report their second-quarter results. The locomotive of the rise in US stocks this year has been the large technology companies, so their earnings reports have also attracted much attention.
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ have risen nearly 130% this year, driven by the AI boom, strong vehicle delivery numbers and a rapidly expanding charging network.
Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney noted on Thursday that the focus of the earnings report will be on non-GAAP auto gross margins as investors worry that recent price cuts could hit the company's bottom line.
Victoria Fernandez, chief market strategist at Crossmark Global Investments, also said that what they really care about is profit margins, which reflect the company's pricing power.
Shares of $Netflix(NFLX)$ are up 50% this year, a much smaller gain. The company's streaming business appears to have reached an inflection point, so investors will be keen to see how the latest Hollywood strike will affect the company's business plans.
Earnings for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ are expected to fall by 7% this quarter. Ross Mayfield, an investment strategist at Baird, said that the earnings beat will be enough to maintain the stock's vested gains, but to continue to rise, it may need earnings results to beat expectations significantly or revenue and earnings beat expectations. Let's look forward to it together.
Comments
Stansberry Research的Brett Eversole
2023年上半年几乎让所有人都感到惊讶...
我们看到对经济衰退的担忧持续存在...美国历史上几起最大的银行倒闭案...以及不断提高利率的美联储。
尽管有这些不利因素,美国股市还是飙升。这个$标准普尔500(.SPX)$今年上半年,该指数上涨了17%。自1998年以来,我们只看到过另外一个上半年达到这样的水平。
不过,有趣的是,这种强劲的表现并没有让大多数投资者眼花缭乱。他们仍然担心地平线上的乌云。但根据历史,他们不应该长期过度看跌。
那是因为$标准普尔500(.SPX)$今年前六个月的表现非常好。这意味着美好时光将会继续...今年股市可能会创下新高。
我们甚至可以看到未来12个月的总上涨幅度为19%。这意味着你今天想拥有股票。
让我解释一下...
上半年15%的涨幅并不常见。自1950年以来,这种情况只发生过10次,或者说大约每7年发生一次。
然而,今天的情况更加罕见。那是因为去年市场亏损了...然后在2023年上半年扭转了15%以上的涨幅。
这种复苏几乎从未发生过。在过去的73年里,我们只看到了另外四个例子。但它现在正在发生。看一看...
这个$标准普尔500(.SPX)$在经历了去年的痛苦后,上演了一场不可思议的反弹。二零二二年的整体亏损为18%。今年到目前为止,我们已经弥补了其中的大部分。
最重要的是,股市只需再上涨8%就能创下新高。根据这个极端情况,这可能会在2023年发生。
为了了解这一点,我查看了每一个股票在一年内下跌并在第二年上半年上涨15%以上的例子。自1950年以来,这种情况只发生过四次。这些例子带来了令人印象深刻的远期回报。仔细检查...
自1950年以来,股市的年回报率高达7.9%。但你可以做得比买入并持有回报好得多。你只需要在正确的时间购买。
在类似的设置后买入导致六个月内上涨9.7%,第二年上涨18.9%。像这样惊人的回报显示了在对你有利的趋势下投资的力量。
更有甚者,如果我们看到今年年底上涨9.7%,美国股市将创下新高。早在一月份,很少有人会想到这是可能的。但是今天,这不仅仅是一种可能性...很有可能。
你可能仍然对把钱投入工作感到不安。
历史清楚地表明了这种情况...趋势是上升的。我们现在想赌更高的价格。
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