Netflix Stock Forecast

skippix
2023-08-04

The Netflix $Netflix(NFLX)$ stock price gained 0.303% on Thursday, 3rd Aug 2023, rising from $429.70 to $431.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.43% from a day low at $427.19 to a day high of $441.83. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.47% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 1 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 6 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.62 billion.

The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $422.71 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 31.09% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $554.15 and $653.60 at the end of this 3-month period.

NFLX Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Netflix stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $436.03. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $428.56. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 19, 2023, and so far it has fallen -9.76%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Netflix stock

Netflix finds support from accumulated volume at $427.50 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $14.64 between high and low, or 3.43%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.01%.

Trading Expectations (NFLX) For The Trading Day Of Friday 4th

For the trading day on Friday, 4th we expect Netflix to open at $433.34, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $416.87 and $445.13, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$14.13 (+/-3.28%) up or down from last closing price. If Netflix takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.56% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $427.50 (0.81%) than the resistance at $437.42 (1.49%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Insiders are negative selling more shares than they are buying in Netflix

In the last 100 trades there were 60.61 thousand shares bought and 179.68 thousand shares sold. The last trade was made 3 days ago by Dopfner Mathias who bough 142 shares. In general the insiders are selling more stocks than they buy. There can be a variety of reasons for this, but in general it can be considered as a negative signal.

Is Netflix stock A Buy?

Netflix holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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