Alcoa

i4value
2023-08-09

$Alcoa(AA)$

Alcoa earnings would be cyclical given the strong correlation between aluminum prices and Alcoa's gross profitability. It could generate significant operating profits under various aluminum price scenarios. However, over the past 9 years, Alcoa had a very heavy tax burden. There were taxes even if it was loss-making. During profitable years, tax rates ranged from 45 % to 108%.

Alcoa is a producer of bauxite, alumina, and aluminum.

Aluminum prices are cyclical. Alcoa’s earnings would be cyclical given the strong correlation between aluminum prices and Alcoa's gross profitability.

Alcoa could generate significant operating profits under various aluminum price scenarios. However, over the past 9 years, Alcoa had a very heavy tax burden. There were taxes even if it was loss-making. During profitable years, tax rates ranged from 45 % to 108%.

There are two ways to explain the high tax rates.

Based on the tax reconciliation, the high tax rate is due to large changes in the valuation allowances.

Another explanation is that the high tax rate is due to arithmetic issues. The losses in the Domestic operations resulted in lower overall profits. The tax rate is then magnified.

To reduce the high effective tax rate, Alcoa needs to focus on changes in valuation allowances and make the Domestic operations profitable.

Modified in.2023-08-10
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Comments

  • frostiix
    2023-08-10
    frostiix

    I am not sure why this stock moves in such a wide range per trading session, I am bullish on it , and I’ll be glad for this sector to get some love

  • cheerzy
    2023-08-19
    cheerzy

    In less than 2 weeks, it will be $33. it is down like most stocks.

  • vippy
    2023-08-19
    vippy

    Next week will be green......... It rained all night last night...... and everything is going to turn green in a couple of days.........

  • nimbly
    2023-08-19
    nimbly

    Buying at dip for sure. Aluminum is a part of everyday life. Buy, hold, sell make money.

  • kookiz
    2023-08-10
    kookiz

    It was the downgrade of the US debt by Fitch. They had US debt on credit watch for a long time.

  • bubblyx
    2023-08-19
    bubblyx

    I think Wall-Streeters should start to buy in now. Stop the insanity!

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