The Marathon Patent $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ stock price fell by -9.26% on Thursday, 17th Aug 2023 from $13.50 to $12.25. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 8.36% from a day low at $12.20 to a day high of $13.22. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -26.03% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 12 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 34 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $414.00 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 60.03% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $19.60 and $36.39 at the end of this 3-month period.
MARA Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Marathon Patent stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $14.23 and $15.98. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 13, 2023, and so far it has fallen -36.53%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Marathon Patent stock
Marathon Patent finds support from accumulated volume at $12.21 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $1.02 between high and low, or 8.36%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.49%.
Marathon Patent is oversold on RSI14 (23). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (MARA) For The Trading Day Of Friday 18th
For the trading day on Friday, 18th we expect Marathon Patent Group to open at $12.56, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $11.04 and $13.46, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.21 (+/-9.90%) up or down from last closing price. If Marathon Patent Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 19.81% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $12.21 (0.33%) than the resistance at $12.71 (3.76%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Insiders are positive buying more shares than they are selling in Marathon Patent
In the last 100 trades there were 1.95 million shares bought and 1.23 million shares sold. The last trade was made 214 days ago by Mellinger Douglas K who bough 32.55 thousand shares. The large amount of stocks bought compared to stocks sold indicate that the insiders believe there is a potential good upside. In some cases larger purchases can be explained by due date for stock options.
Is Marathon Patent Group stock A Buy?
The Marathon Patent stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Marathon Patent will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
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