The AMC Entertainment stock price fell by -23.72% on Monday, 21st Aug 2023 from $4.09 to $3.12. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 32.13% from a day low at $3.05 to a day high of $4.03. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -39.06% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 62 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 112 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $350.36 million.
The stock has broken the very wide and falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point ($3.37) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory $0.98 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.
AMC Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The AMC Entertainment stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $3.90 and $4.51. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, August 18, 2023, and so far it has fallen -23.72%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AMC Entertainment stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.98 between high and low, or 32.13%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 15.61%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (AMC) For The Trading Day Of Tuesday 22nd
For the trading day on Tuesday, 22nd we expect AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc to open at $3.40, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $2.63 and $3.61, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.487 (+/-15.60%) up or down from last closing price. If AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 31.19% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $3.39, some $0.270 (8.65%) from the current price of $3.12, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Insiders are very negative selling more shares than they are buying in AMC Entertainment
In the last 100 trades there were 1.96 million shares bought and 68.73 million shares sold. The last trade was made 55 days ago by Antara Capital Lp who sold 1.33 million shares. In general the insiders are selling more stocks than they buy. There can be a variety of reasons for this, but in general it can be considered as a negative signal.
Is AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc stock A Buy?
AMC Entertainment holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
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