JinHan
2023-08-25

The recent earnings season for semiconductor stocks, including key players like $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ , $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ , and $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ , has been closely watched, and the results have painted a mixed picture against the backdrop of high market expectations.

NVIDIA's earnings announcement, coupled with its announcement of an expanded share buyback plan, set a tone of optimism. This move was particularly anticipated given the stock's recent surge. Similar high hopes are pinned on other industry giants like AMD and ASML. However, the challenge lies in meeting these lofty expectations, especially considering the impressive upward trajectory of these stocks in recent months.

The exceptional climb in share prices, particularly that of NVIDIA, has elevated market expectations to unprecedented levels. This means that not only do earnings need to surpass projections, but they also need to exceed these already ambitious anticipations. The recent release of NVIDIA's earnings serves as a prime example – although the announcement initially propelled the share price up by around 8%, it eventually closed with a marginal 0.5% gain. This disparity underscores the difficulty of living up to these heightened stock price expectations.

While the long-term potential for chip companies in the AI evolution remains promising, the near-term valuation of these companies is increasingly questionable. The rapid ascent of share prices has sparked debates about the sustainability of such valuations. While the underlying growth potential is acknowledged, the immediate outlook is more uncertain.

In conclusion, the semiconductor sector's earnings reports have placed a spotlight on the confluence of high expectations and stock price performance. While companies like NVIDIA, AMD, and ASML are poised to benefit from the AI revolution, the challenge lies in aligning quarterly results with the sky-high market expectations. As the recent market reaction to NVIDIA's earnings suggests, even impressive results might not be enough to sustain the astonishing climb of share prices. In the long run, these chip companies have strong growth drivers, but in the present, their valuations warrant a cautious evaluation.

Please like and share your views on my perspective above. Happy to hear more from everyone!

Will Semi earnings drive stocks higher?
Semiconductor stocks like ASML, TSM will release earnings in the two weeks. Recently, semiconductor stocks show strength amidst weak performance of broader market. ---------- How do you expect earnings of Semiconductor stocks? Will earnings boost the semicondutor's performance?
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Comments

  • WendyDelia
    2023-08-26
    WendyDelia

    The infatuation with the Nasdaq to me is to crazy. With all the nonsense and NVDA only going up 5% on the week…$SOXS still down on the week around 4%. Give me a break….Nasdaq ain’t going nowhere but up.

    • JinHan
      Gotta time the pace of capital deployment! September might be a good month to deploy more!
  • JohnnyYoung
    2023-08-25
    JohnnyYoung

    NVDA still in good shape technically don’t worry

    • JinHan
      Agreed. Fundamentally nothing worrying. Just a slight pullback/ correction!
  • JohnMitchell
    2023-08-26
    JohnMitchell

    looks like bears are pretty screwed going into next week

  • WebbBart
    2023-08-26
    WebbBart

    Daily resets are the best - see everyone Monday!

  • BillyWilliams
    2023-08-25
    BillyWilliams

    China will come back, NVDA will go up more!!

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