Stocks Tumbles From High Interest Rates Fear

ZEROHERO
2023-09-27

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Bearish

63% gain from taking both puts and calls on TSLA. Tech stocks were slipping Tuesday afternoon with the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) falling 1.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor index shedding 1.5%.

⚠️ Trading tips: looking at SPY puts below 425 and calls above 428 on Wednesday. Using SPY to trade the other faster moving tickers this week for a quicker gain as well.

Trend is your friend

The S&P 500 information-technology sector officially entered correction territory Tuesday when it closed at 2,869.6 after falling 1.8% on the day. The drop brought the index down 10.5% from its 52-week high of 3,207.29. A stock or index is said to be in correction territory once it has fallen 10% or more from recent highs.

The central bank's plans for interest rates unveiled after the close of its September policy meeting have been widely blamed for driving recent moves in Treasury yields and the dollar.

Moving into extreme fear this week

The rising real rates -- that is, bond yields adjusted for inflation -- could continue to create headaches for stocks. As Cossel showed in a chart from earlier this week, the S&P 500's valuation on a forward price-to-earnings
basis remains conspicuously stretched based on where 10-year real rates are trading.

The 10-year real rate Cossel used here measures the 10-year nominal Treasury yield BX:TMUBMUSD10Y adjusted for the
10-year breakeven spread.

"Unless rates fall, the S&P 500 looks vulnerable at current levels," Cossel said in the note.

U.S. stocks closed sharply lower Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA seeing its worst daily drop since March, while Treasury yields pushed higher and a popular gauge of the U.S. dollar's value reached its highest
level in 10 months. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, the gauge mentioned above, rose 0.2% to 106.18.

Buy puts

Buy call

Buy call

Tesla (TSLA) and European automakers that ship electric vehicles made in China to the European Union are set to be included in an anti-subsidy investigation by the European Commission, the Financial Times reported Tuesday. Tesla shares fell 1.2%.

The Dow fell 338 points, or 1.1%, to 33,618.88, the S&P 500 SPX shed 63.91 points, or 1.5%, to 4,273.53, and the Nasdaq Composite COMP fell 207.71 points, or 1.6%, to 13,063.61.


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Target price for Tesla after delivery data?
Tesla released the latest 3Q deliveries of 466,140; surpassing the estimates of 455K units. ------------------ How do you view Tesla's delivery data? What's your target price for Tesla? Are you bullish/bearish on Tesla stock price?
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Comments

  • BorgPetty
    2023-09-27
    BorgPetty

    If there was ever a time the bulls were going to defend it would be now. Massive level of confluence occurring on todays close.

    • ZEROHERO
      Yes. Get over with September
  • koolgal
    2023-09-27
    koolgal
    Wow!  You are doing well despite the markets downturn.  Congratulations 😍😍😍🌈🌈🌈
    • koolgalReplyZEROHERO
      Thanks for your support and encouragement too.  😍😍😍
    • ZEROHERO
      Appreciate your positivity & kind words 🙏
  • PaulaBaldwin
    2023-09-27
    PaulaBaldwin

    From September 20 low of 320 levels SPY made a high 480 levels. Nearly 50% uptrend without correction.

  • delusion梦碎
    2023-09-27
    delusion梦碎

    I expect SPY to go up over the next 2 days. SPY closed today at 425.88.

  • BruceBryant
    2023-09-27
    BruceBryant

    i still think the market can go higher in long term

  • ColinThorndike
    2023-09-27
    ColinThorndike

    Man up. big gov is not giving out free money anymore.

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