Been a while since I contribut

2023-09-27

Been a while since I contributed. Before we go all bullish or bearish or pigish, or apeish, let's call these two charts to attention. First is bankruptcy filings which have already soared To GFC levels. The economy has fractured. It just takes time to be realised by the market. Typically a lag before it shows. Next, we have the S&P500. 7 of the top stocks in this basket are responsible for a 50% push. The rest of the 493 are nearly flat for the year. The Wall Street phrase goes - when the generals lead but the soldiers don't follow, beware.

The Fed has no choice but to hike more as energy prices are just too high. The only way to bring down prices is to hike till demand is starved off. Something will fracture. If not this quarter, perhaps the next.

The yield curve inversion has been spot on except for one false signal since 1955. And it has been deeply inverted for a very long period. Chances are, in my humble opinion, we will get a hard landing.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

JohnMitchell
2023-09-27
JohnMitchell
yep , retailer shorties are a joke. This clueless don't know 401K keep adding money into market. The squeeze will be huge soon. TSLA and META for sure will lift SPY soom/ buy buy the BEAR TRAP
BruceBryant
2023-09-27
BruceBryant
Seems like somebody keeps bidding against themself and driving the price up. Why wouldn't they spread out their purchases ?
ChrisColeman
2023-09-27
ChrisColeman
It’s not bearish now, the market will give a direction soon!
WendyDelia
2023-09-27
WendyDelia
Everyone just SLOW DOWN ... I'm still trying to find a pen.
JohnnyYoung
2023-09-27
JohnnyYoung
So maybe i sell my put before market close wait tomorrow

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Before we go all bullish or bearish or pigish, or apeish, let's call these two charts to attention. First is bankruptcy filings which have already soared To GFC levels. The economy has fractured. It just takes time to be realised by the market. Typically a lag before it shows.&nbsp; Next, we have the S&amp;P500. 7 of the top stocks in this basket are responsible for a 50% push. The rest of the 493 are nearly flat for the year. The Wall Street phrase goes - when the generals lead but the soldiers don't follow, beware.&nbsp;\n \nThe Fed has no choice but to hike more as energy prices are just too high. The only way to bring down prices is to hike till demand is starved off. Something will fracture. If not this quarter, perhaps the next.&nbsp;\n \nThe yield curve inversion has been spot on except for one false signal since 1955. And it has been deeply inverted for a very long period. Chances are, in my humble opinion, we will get a hard landing.&nbsp;\n<img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c18908f7f3ff36b96f9531c480ac7701\" tg-width=\"1810\" tg-height=\"1330\">\n<img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54bf87734d6b8ec98cc39265f3fa51d9\" tg-width=\"1812\" tg-height=\"880\"></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Been a while since I contributed. Before we go all bullish or bearish or pigish, or apeish, let's call these two charts to attention. First is bankruptcy filings which have already soared To GFC levels. The economy has fractured. It just takes time to be realised by the market. Typically a lag before it shows.&nbsp; Next, we have the S&amp;P500. 7 of the top stocks in this basket are responsible for a 50% push. The rest of the 493 are nearly flat for the year. The Wall Street phrase goes - when the generals lead but the soldiers don't follow, beware.&nbsp;\n \nThe Fed has no choice but to hike more as energy prices are just too high. The only way to bring down prices is to hike till demand is starved off. Something will fracture. If not this quarter, perhaps the next.&nbsp;\n \nThe yield curve inversion has been spot on except for one false signal since 1955. And it has been deeply inverted for a very long period. Chances are, in my humble opinion, we will get a hard landing.&nbsp;\n<img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c18908f7f3ff36b96f9531c480ac7701\" tg-width=\"1810\" tg-height=\"1330\">\n<img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/54bf87734d6b8ec98cc39265f3fa51d9\" tg-width=\"1812\" tg-height=\"880\"></body></html>","text":"Been a while since I contributed. Before we go all bullish or bearish or pigish, or apeish, let's call these two charts to attention. First is bankruptcy filings which have already soared To GFC levels. The economy has fractured. It just takes time to be realised by the market. Typically a lag before it shows. Next, we have the S&P500. 7 of the top stocks in this basket are responsible for a 50% push. The rest of the 493 are nearly flat for the year. The Wall Street phrase goes - when the generals lead but the soldiers don't follow, beware. The Fed has no choice but to hike more as energy prices are just too high. The only way to bring down prices is to hike till demand is starved off. Something will fracture. If not this quarter, perhaps the next. The yield curve inversion has been spot on except for one false signal since 1955. And it has been deeply inverted for a very long period. Chances are, in my humble opinion, we will get a hard landing.","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/224535076991048","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":484,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":781,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":224423019921416,"commentId":"224423019921416","gmtCreate":1695828530396,"gmtModify":1695828537677,"authorId":9000000000000167,"author":{"id":9000000000000167,"idStr":"9000000000000167","authorId":9000000000000167,"name":"JohnMitchell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f348ed259c16ca350a06124ce87ee8bb","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":224535076991048,"objectIdStr":"224535076991048","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"yep , retailer shorties are a joke. This clueless don't know 401K keep adding money into market. The squeeze will be huge soon. TSLA and META for sure will lift SPY soom/ buy buy the BEAR TRAP","text":"yep , retailer shorties are a joke. This clueless don't know 401K keep adding money into market. The squeeze will be huge soon. TSLA and META for sure will lift SPY soom/ buy buy the BEAR TRAP","html":"yep , retailer shorties are a joke. This clueless don't know 401K keep adding money into market. The squeeze will be huge soon. 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Why wouldn't they spread out their purchases ?","html":"Seems like somebody keeps bidding against themself and driving the price up. 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I'm still trying to find a pen.","text":"Everyone just SLOW DOWN ... I'm still trying to find a pen.","html":"Everyone just SLOW DOWN ... I'm still trying to find a pen.","likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":224423386738840,"commentId":"224423386738840","gmtCreate":1695828412258,"gmtModify":1695828419653,"authorId":9000000000000169,"author":{"id":9000000000000169,"idStr":"9000000000000169","authorId":9000000000000169,"name":"JohnnyYoung","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df6a0fed4b2624034014be633476534a","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":224535076991048,"objectIdStr":"224535076991048","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"So maybe i sell my put before market close wait tomorrow","text":"So maybe i sell my put before market close wait tomorrow","html":"So maybe i sell my put before market close wait tomorrow","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/224535076991048"}