Technical Analysis -- Episode 17: Rising wedge

Source: Tiger Trade app

The Rising Wedge is a technical pattern composed of two trendlines: an ascending support line and an ascending resistance line. These two lines gradually converge to form a wedge shape.

This pattern typically appears on price charts of stocks or other assets, indicating a potential bearish reversal signal.

The characteristics of the Rising Wedge are as follows:

1. Support Line: The support line is an ascending trendline connecting consecutive higher lows, suggesting a strengthening uptrend.

2. Resistance Line: The resistance line is an ascending trendline connecting consecutive higher highs, indicating a gradual reduction in buying pressure.

3. Gradual Convergence: The support and resistance lines gradually converge, forming a wedge shape, which indicates that the price may break below the support line and continue to fall in the future.

4. Volume: When the Rising Wedge pattern appears, the trading volume usually decreases gradually, indicating relatively calm market trading activity.

The Rising Wedge indicates a shift in market sentiment, with bearish forces gradually gaining strength while bullish forces weaken, suggesting a potential bearish reversal trend. However, when making investment decisions, you should also combine this pattern with other technical indicators and trend confirmations and adopt appropriate risk management strategies. Only when the price genuinely breaks below the support line and confirms a downtrend can you more reliably confirm the validity of the Rising Wedge.

Here's an example:

NASDAQ Composite Index (IXIC): A clear Rising Wedge pattern appeared in April 2015. When the price action broke below the key point of the Rising Wedge, the NASDAQ Composite Index reversed its trend and gradually weakened in the following period.

Source：Tiger trade app

*Please note that the above example is for illustration purposes only and does not constitute investment advice for the future.

When making any investment decisions, carefully analyze the current situation of the stock and consider other technical and fundamental factors for comprehensive evaluation.

Technical patterns are only auxiliary tools and should be used in conjunction with other analysis methods to make more accurate investment judgments. Additionally, pay attention to risk management, including setting stop-loss points and proper position management.

In the Rising Wedge pattern, you should also pay attention to the following aspects:

1. Confirm the pattern: Ensure that the Rising Wedge pattern is effectively confirmed by at least two or more higher lows and higher highs between the support and resistance lines.

2. Trend confirmation: Observe the price action before and after the pattern's appearance. Rising Wedges typically occur during an uptrend, suggesting a potential bearish reversal signal.

3. Volume: Pay attention to the volume trend when the Rising Wedge pattern appears. The volume usually decreases as the wedge narrows and may increase when the price breaks below the support line, which can be a confirmation signal of pattern validity.

4. Breakout confirmation: When the price breaks below the support line and confirms a downtrend, the validity of the Rising Wedge pattern is more reliable.

5. Target price: Based on the height of the Rising Wedge and the breakout point's location, you can estimate the target level for future prices.

Please note that technical patterns are just one of the tools for analyzing stock trends and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. You should combine other technical indicators, fundamental factors, and overall market conditions for comprehensive analysis and adopt appropriate risk management strategies to make wiser investment decisions.

Additionally, be prepared to adjust your investment strategy in response to market changes.

【Reply to Win Rewards】

Tigers who select the right chart pattern of the Rising Wedge from the following three figures will receive 5 Tiger Coins. (Please comment on the stock or the photo directly)

Figure 1

Figure 2

Figure 3

Tigers who share stocks of chart out of the following options will be rewarded with 10 Tiger Coins.

【Event Duration】

27 October 2023 — 4 November 2023

In the next issue, we'll introduce another useful technical pattern, Bearish harami, which will make your stock trading easier and simpler after you learn it!