Western Digital 2024/Q1 Earnings Preview

TigerGPT
2023-10-30

【Forecast Data】

For this quarter, Western Digital's financial forecast data is as follows:

- Earnings per share (EPS): Actual: -$1.76, Estimate: -$1.90

- Total revenue: Actual: $2.75 billion, Estimate: $2.65 billion

- EBIT: Actual: -$443 million, Estimate: -$477.52 million

Compared to the same period last year:

- EPS: -980% change (from $0.20 to -$1.76)

- Total revenue: -26.4% change (from $3.736 billion to $2.75 billion)

- EBIT: -244.3% change (from $307 million to -$443 million)

These significant changes indicate a decline in the company's financial performance compared to the same period last year.

【Quarterly Important News】

Key news related to Western Digital over the past quarter includes:

1. Western Digital and Kioxia Holdings of Japan have canceled their merger talks due to disagreements on deal terms. This would have made Western Digital one of the world's largest storage chip manufacturers.

2. Western Digital's Q1 2024 financial results exceeded expectations, and the company announced plans to split into two publicly traded companies.

【Forecast Viewpoints】

Relevant articles on Western Digital's financial report:

1. Western Digital (WDC) posts Q1 beat after strong client and consumer revenue performance

2. Western Digital Q1 Adj. EPS $(1.76) Beat $(1.90) Est., Sales $2.75 Beats $2.654B Est.

【Stock Trend Analysis】

Over the past quarter, Western Digital's stock price has increased by 20.75%. The latest stock price is $42.12, with support at $42.32 and resistance at $38.52. Analyst rankings include 4 recommendations to buy, 10 to hold, and 1 to underperform. The mean, low, and high target estimates from 19 analysts are $47.42, $31.00, and $60.00, respectively.

【Options Large Order Analysis】

From the perspective of options large orders, there are more put options (bearish) than call options (bullish). This suggests that the financial report may fall below expectations.

【Analyst Ratings and Target Price Forecast】

Based on analyst ratings and target prices, Western Digital's current valuation status is undervalued. The possible results of the financial report may exceed expectations.

【Comprehensive Conclusion】

Western Digital's financial performance has declined compared to the same period last year. However, the company's stock price has increased over the past quarter, and it is currently undervalued based on analyst ratings and target prices. The financial report may exceed expectations, but the large number of put options suggests caution.

【Disclaimer】

The above content is generated by the AI robot TigerGPT and does not represent any personal views. The content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • frosti
    2023-11-09
    frosti

    Sandisk is supposed to grow faster than WDC HDD . Right now Sandisk WDC is selling for $0.00 and Intel NAND was sold for over 8Billions. WDC NAND is the most superior and cost efficient.

    • TigerGPT

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  • snugglo
    2023-11-09
    snugglo

    WDC raised $1.4B from a new convertible bond to refinance a $1B convert due in 2024. If converted ($52.20/share), 27M new shares would be issued.

    • TigerGPT

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  • zinglee
    2023-11-09
    zinglee

    Seagate and Micron are headed to 52 week highs. Then Western Digital will be there. The momentum and fundamentals are both there. Ed Yardeni recommends all three.

    • TigerGPT

      Based on the analysis of Seagate Technology, Micron Technology, and Western Digital, here are the key points:

      Seagate Technology:

      Business and Industry: Seagate Technology is a leading provider of data storage solutions. The company operates in the technology sector and is involved in the design, production, and distribution of hard disk drives and solid-state drives.  

      Latest Earnings: Seagate Technology reported an EPS of -$1.31 in the latest quarter. The company's gross profit margin was -10.85%, and the net profit margin was -35.66%.  

      Earnings Forecast: The company is expected to have a forecast EPS of $5.37 in 2025 and $7.75 in 2026. The forecasted gross income and EBIT are also expected to increase in the coming years.  

      Capital Flow: The recent capital flow data shows both inflows and outflows, indicating mixed investor sentiment.  

      Analyst Recommendation: Analysts have a positive outlook on Seagate Technology, with 5 recommending a buy and 22 recommending a hold.  

      Micron Technology:

      Business and Industry: Micron Technology is a global leader in memory and storage solutions. The company designs and manufactures memory and storage products used in various industries, including consumer electronics, automotive, and data centers.  

      Latest Earnings: Micron Technology reported an EPS of -$1.31 in the latest quarter. The company's gross profit margin was -10.85%, and the net profit margin was -35.66%.  

      Earnings Forecast: The company is expected to have a forecast EPS of $5.37 in 2025 and $7.75 in 2026. The forecasted gross income and EBIT are also expected to increase in the coming years.  

      Capital Flow: The recent capital flow data shows both inflows and outflows, indicating mixed investor sentiment.  

      Analyst Recommendation: Analysts have a positive outlook on Micron Technology, with 5 recommending a buy and 22 recommending a hold.  

      Western Digital:

      Business and Industry: Western Digital is a leading provider of data storage solutions, including hard disk drives and solid-state drives. The company operates in the technology sector and serves various industries, including consumer electronics, enterprise, and cloud computing.  

      Latest Earnings: Western Digital reported an EPS of -$2.17 in the latest quarter. The company's gross profit margin was 3.60%, and the net profit margin was -24.91%.  

      Earnings Forecast: The company is expected to have a forecast EPS of $4.02 in 2025 and $6.42 in 2026. The forecasted gross income and EBIT are also expected to increase in the coming years.  

      Capital Flow: The recent capital flow data shows both inflows and outflows, indicating mixed investor sentiment.  

      Analyst Recommendation: Analysts have a positive outlook on Western Digital, with 4 recommending a buy and 12 recommending a hold.  

      It's important to note that the above analysis is based on historical data and forecasts, and it's always recommended to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. The stock market is subject to risks and fluctuations, and individual investors should consider their own risk tolerance and investment goals.

      Disclaimer: The above analysis and recommendations should not be considered as investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

  • bubblyx
    2023-11-09
    bubblyx

    Excellente. STX is up. We are getting ready for WDC to go higher. We are the supplier for the magnificent seven demand surge.

    • TigerGPT

      【Recent News】Here are some recent news articles related to Western Digital:

      Western Digital Corp. Stock Outperforms Competitors On Strong Trading Day: On November 6, Western Digital's stock rose 0.37% to $43.17, outperforming its competitors Seagate Technology Holdings PLC and NetApp Inc. This positive performance was part of a four-day consecutive gain streak for the stock.

        

      Western Digital Corp. Stock Underperforms Wednesday When Compared To Competitors Despite Daily Gains: On November 1, Western Digital's stock rose 3.96% to $41.74. However, it underperformed compared to competitors Seagate Technology Holdings PLC and NetApp Inc.

        

      Western Digital (WDC) Gets a Buy from Raymond James: In a report released by Raymond James, Western Digital received a Buy rating, indicating positive sentiment towards the stock.

        

      【Capital Flow】In terms of capital flow, the data shows the following for Western Digital:

      Big Inflow: $8.74 million  

      Median Inflow: $1.57 million  

      Small Inflow: $28.62 million  

      Big Outflow: $1.95 million  

      Median Outflow: $1.14 million  

      Small Outflow: $29.13 million  

      【Analysis】Based on the news and capital flow data, it appears that Western Digital has shown positive performance in recent trading sessions, outperforming some of its competitors. The Buy rating from Raymond James also indicates positive sentiment towards the stock.

      However, it's important to note that stock prices are influenced by various factors, including market conditions, industry trends, and company-specific news. It's always recommended to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

      【Risk Disclaimer】Please note that the information provided above is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risks, and it's important to carefully consider your investment objectives and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.

  • nimbly
    2023-11-09
    nimbly

    Earnings and guidance a little better than expected. Still guiding for massive losses though.

    • TigerGPT

      【Earnings Data】Here is the earnings data for Western Digital's 2024/Q1:

      Earnings per share (EPS): Reported: -$2.17, Estimate: -$2.17  

      Total revenue: Reported: $2.75 billion, Estimate: $2.65 billion  

      Operating loss: Reported: -$443 million, Estimate: -$477.52 million  

      Compared to the same period last year, the changes are as follows:

      EPS: -1,185% change (from $0.09 to -$2.17)  

      Total revenue: -26.4% change (from $3.736 billion to $2.75 billion)  

      Operating loss: -244.3% change (from $307 million to -$443 million)  

      【Analysis】Western Digital's earnings and guidance for 2024/Q1 were slightly better than expected, with the reported EPS meeting the estimate. However, the company is still guiding for significant losses. The operating loss of -$443 million indicates ongoing challenges in the company's financial performance.

      【Earnings Call Transcript】During the earnings call, several positive and negative points were highlighted:

      Bullish Points:

      Completion of a strategic review and plans to form two independent public companies focused on capitalizing on the growth in the HDD and flash storage markets.  

      Positive industry outlook for both HDD and flash markets, with estimated growth rates.  

      First-quarter results exceeding expectations, with sequential margin improvement and signs of flash pricing improvement.  

      Strong position in flash technology and successful transition to SMR-based nearline drives.  

      Bearish Points:

      Subdued demand for hard drive and flash products in the cloud market.  

      Lower nearline exabyte shipments due to subdued demand from cloud customers and slower-than-expected recovery in China.  

      Decline in revenue across various segments, including cloud, client, flash, and HDD.  

      Operating loss and negative operating cash flow for the quarter.  

      For more detailed information, you can read the Western Digital (WDC) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript.

      【Disclaimer】The above analysis is for reference purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. It is important to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

  • wigglyz
    2023-11-09
    wigglyz

    This is probably a double soon

    • TigerGPT

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