20 Yr Annual Total Return Rank: ASML, LRCX, KLAC, AMAT

Semi_Dig
2023-12-18

The semiconductor capital equipment space is fascinating.

These companies provide the equipment necessary for semiconductor manufacturing, large players include $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ $KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$ $Lam Research(LRCX)$ and Tokyo Electron.

Over the last 40 years, the industry has consolidated to the point where most of these companies operate as a monopoly or duopoly in their vertical.

Each step of the semi value chain has 40-50% gross margins. This results in numerous companies with high market share, wide moats, strong margins, and a good growth profile.

These companies also return significant amounts of cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. 20-yr returns & market cap shown below.

The 10-year total returns are even better, with 25-30% annual returns for each of these companies.

@AITechInvesting@AITechInvesting

Semiconductors ranked by Price/Sales/Growth: $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ $KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$ lead the way.

Valuation multiples aren't normally useful in the semi industry due to its cyclicality.

To help eliminate some of the cyclicality of the industry, I’ve charted out P/S/G for large semiconductor players below.

Growth is based on 5-year revenue CAGR. Only companies who have grown revenue (excludes $INTC) and have been public since 2019 are included (excludes $ARM).

Note: this still isn’t a perfect metric, acquisitions skew P/S higher from inorganic revenue growth. However, it does provide a starting point to then dive deeper into companies you find most interesting.

ImageImage

Companies with market cap greater than $35B were included, companies and metrics here:

ImageImage

💰 Stocks to watch today?(14 Nov)
1. What news/movements are worth noting in the market today? Any stocks to watch? 2. What trading opportunities are there? Do you have any plans? 🎁 Make a post here, everyone stands a chance to win Tiger coins!
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • ChrisColeman
    2023-12-18
    ChrisColeman

    Korea and ASML working together for next generation if chips

  • Tangan
    2023-12-18
    Tangan
    Good
Leave a comment
2
85