Newbie's Blog: Looking back on 2023

Jo Tan
2023-12-21

I have accumulated more knowledge from investing in 2023. It's because I've made so many mistakes (and a lot of losses). Thats is why i still consider myself a newbie. The key mistake I've made is following my human nature and dispensing of my "principles".

Let me share with you what I've learnt and didn't learn:

1. I couldn't prevent myself from buying when stocks were green: In order words, FOMO. For most of the year, I have restrained myself from jumping in whenever stocks go through the roof. I have done this by trading passively and not jumping at key financial events like Fed announcements or earnings reports. However, there are times when I see $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   or $DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$   jump, that I want to join in. I think I made a crucial mistake with Grab and $NIO Inc.(NIO)$   by jumping in recently and buying when they were rallying/green. Despite learning this lesson in 2022, it still repeats and I'm always reminded with some losses.

2. Relating stock growth with recent events: Stock prices rising or falling during the moment are never indications of company/stock growth. Sure, they could be indicative of things to come, but true growth and real profits come in over the long term. This is why I try to turn a blind eye to occasional events but focus on the horizon. This is also my impetus to hold. However, when my resolve falls due to point one, I realise that I tend to panic and try to earn or cut profits due to "imaginary consequences" (e.g. the stock has reached its peak, its time to sell). I have lost a lot this way, especially with $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ , missing out when it hit $3.80.

What's to come:

1. In the coming year 2024, I expect the unexpected, but I want to extend my resolve to hold. This means exercising patience and more importantly, allocating money to investing that I do not use for immediate needs. I've learnt to set aside what's required for household expenses, taxes, leisure, etc and to set aside a "sure lose" amount to invest.

2. Expect the unexpected: I've mentioned it before but I'll mention it again. Rate cuts definitely equals rising stocks? Never! I remember thinking rate hikes would cause bank stocks to rise. Well, today $DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$  is still the same price it was almost 2 years ago at around low $30s. It would be better to stick to a constant investment plan. Its not that DBS didn't rise. It did, over a few years. It was almost $18 around 4 years ago. Constant investment over years will yield more profit then timing the market because you can never time it correctly forever.

Thus, with all these lessons, I am ready again to face 2024. I feel that the most important thing to do is to apply these lessons and not to give in to human nature. Here's to a better and profitable year for all!


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Comments

  • Lionel8383
    2023-12-21
    Lionel8383
    Rate cuts leads to easing of monetary conditions, in which the businesses can borrow easier and consumers would be incentivised to spend more. Also that would result in bond yields falling, and raising equity valuations. If you know how to calculate your intrinsic value of the companies you own, then you be more confident when you buy stocks
  • snoopy123
    2023-12-21
    snoopy123
    I'm guilty also.. [Facepalm]
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