Are the EV stocks still investible?

pekss
02-24

Despite having lost over 99% of its value over the past year, $Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$   continues to attempt its dead cat bounces lately, as the traders in the meme stock bet on short-squeezing of the struggling electric vehicle maker and engage in tug-of-war with the fundamentalists. I believe that any recovery in stock prices, at times over 70% intraday fluctuations from trough to peak, is going to be short-lived for a company that is plagued by weak demands and deteriorating balance sheet. In fact, Faraday Future's promise to turnaround the company, attain profitability and defend shareholder value has been fruitless so far, and its sustainability even as a going concern is a big question mark to me.

Likewise, $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$   has just announced that it would lay off 10% of its workforce as its latest output missed forecast and the prevailing EV price war continues to erode profit margins in the EV industry. Rivian has been struggling to expand its customer base beyond its key sponsor Amazon whose orders of delivery vans have fallen significantly short of previous commitment by the e-commerce giant to electrify its delivery fleet. Yet to generate sufficient operating cash flows, Rivian has been burning its cash reserves to sustain operations. However, with just under $8 billion cash balance currently, it is projected that Rivian has only sufficient cash to last through at most another 3 years - thus its urgent need to improve its operating cash flows for long-term viability.

Softening EV demand in their domestic market has also been affecting the Chinese EV startup trio $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$  and $Li Auto(LI)$  which are particularly vulnerable to decline in local demands for EVs amidst a price war ignited by Tesla, deflationary Chinese economy and saturating EV industry as a growing number of conventional car makers jumped onto the EV bandwagon. Yet to establish an export market, the trio has to contend with slowing demands and shrinking profit margins. Hence, I prefer not to add my Chinese EV exposure as I await signs of recovery of the Chinese economy.

@TigerEvents @MillionaireTiger @VideoLounge @CaptainTiger @TigerStars @TigerWire 

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Comments

  • Eeyore Trade
    02-24
    Eeyore Trade
    Sadly EVs haven’t really taken off… still too many unkowns. Could be good long term, but im not confident
    • pekssReplyEeyore Trade
      I agree with you; once the incumbents have acquired the EV technology knowhow, I doubt Tesla and its wannabes will be able to justify the P/E ratios they command today.
    • Eeyore TradeReplypekss
      I have long suspected that the established car manufacturers will eventually come out the winner. Even Tesla, I feel, will end up just having been a flash in the pan. They had an early first mover advantage, but I just don’t see them being significant in the long-term.
    • pekss
      EV charging infrastructure is still few and far between, so mass adoption may still be years away. At the same time, the market is getting saturated with many automakers from startups to incumbents jumping into the EV bandwagon, so I expect consolidation over time when only the fittest will survive
  • setia100
    02-25
    setia100
    Too fast and too furious 🤔
    • pekss
      I believe that the EV stocks have run ahead of their fundamentals and still have much room for corrections!
    • eveev
      What goes up too fast will come crashing back
  • Healthy Tiger
    02-26
    Healthy Tiger
    I will avoid EV stocks until EV demands recover. Now is too uncertain and risky.
    • Healthy TigerReplypekss
      Agree!
    • pekss
      Agree that downside risk remains elevated in the short term, even though the long term prospects of the EV industry is bright amidst global awareness of climate change and tightening emissions regulations.
  • ngph
    02-24
    ngph
    EV market appears to be heading south!
    • ngphReplypekss
      EV prices need to drop further to be affordable for broader adoption!
    • pekss
      A softening EV market coupled with prevailing price war is a bad combination!
  • eveev
    02-24
    eveev
    I will avoid them!
    • pekssReplyeveev
      There may only be a couple of EV winners at the end, while most EV startups either may not survive or may be forced to consolidate.
    • eveevReplypekss
      Bearish short term but bullish long term
    • pekss
      Me too, downside risk does not justify the potential rewards if any at all!
  • Sonsonkok
    02-26
    Sonsonkok

    Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

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