The US presidential election is scheduled for November 5, 2024, and March 5 is the crucial primary election day known as "Super Tuesday," when 15 states and one overseas territory will hold Republican primary elections.
Donald Trump is once again running for President of the United States. The series of votes on "Super Tuesday" will determine whether Trump can defeat his opponent Nikki Haley to become the Republican presidential nominee and challenge the incumbent President Joe Biden, who is seeking reelection.
What is "Super Tuesday"?
• "Super Tuesday" is the busiest day of the US presidential primary elections, with 15 states and 1 US territory holding primaries for both parties simultaneously. Alaska only holds Republican primaries, while American Samoa only holds Democratic primaries.
• Trump's only opponent within the party, Haley, won her first primary victory on the 3rd in Washington, D.C., but she only gained 43 delegate votes, while Trump has already secured 247. Haley's attempt to stop Trump's efforts may come to an end on Tuesday.
How far is Trump from securing the party nomination?
• Out of a total of 2429 delegate votes in the Republican Party, "Super Tuesday" accounts for 874; a candidate who obtains 1215 delegate votes in the primaries can secure the party nomination.
• Trump's campaign team estimates that he could secure at least 773 delegate votes on "Super Tuesday," potentially having enough votes to secure the nomination by mid-March.
Trump is expected to once again become the Republican presidential nominee.
What does it mean for Biden?
• So far, Biden has won 206 delegate votes, losing only 2 delegate votes related to the "undecided" vote in last week's Michigan primary, where over 100,000 Democratic voters expressed anger at Biden's support for Israel's military actions in Gaza.
• Biden needs to win 1968 out of 3934 delegate votes to secure the nomination.
Are there swing states voting on that day?
• Among the states voting on "Super Tuesday," only North Carolina is a swing state in the November elections. Analysts will pay attention to the support for Trump and Biden among different demographic groups in North Carolina. North Carolina voters are diverse, including urban, suburban, and rural voters, as well as voters from college towns.
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