I certainly do not think the us stock market has peaked yet though pricing at this level is a double edged sword. The momentum is good on the upside but chasing at this level requires shrewd analysis with the selection of fundamentally strong businesses.
My personal take is inflation data should be either in line with expectations or weaker than expected, bringing both dollar index down and us stocks up further.
Naturally to think in a singular direction is risky as over sizing at this level into us stocks could mean one may get overly emotional when stocks swing the other end.
I used to think that chasing us stocks at relatively high level does not make sense which makes the buying of cheaper Chinese stocks a relatively safer approach. This thinking technically wasn't wrong in 2000 to 2010 took a fundamental shift when policies changes under a new leadership in 2014 onwards and the increasingly tensing of geopolitical relations between China and USA made this strategy wrong...
So what does it left off? India and Japan? Europe? All these are not easy answer. I would have said a diversified approach of good stocks in different industries and countries with fundamentally strong business is a better approach.
Some may even argue bitcoin and crypto as the better game. Who knows...
In the meantime, risk management is important.
As always, this should not be construed as any investment or trading advice.
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ $$HSTECH(HSTECH)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $XIAOMI-W(01810)$
Comments