BREAKING: Prediction markets n-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

BREAKING: Prediction markets now see a 16% chance of at least 1 interest rate HIKE in 2024.

Meanwhile, prediction markets now see a record high ~38% chance of 0 interest rate CUTS in 2024.

The base case shows just 1 rate cut in September 2024, down from 6 cuts expected just 4 months ago.

In January, odds of another rate HIKE were at just 1% as the Fed seemingly "pivoted" in December 2023.

What happened to the Fed pivot?

Needless to say, the Fed pivot has quickly disappeared.

Tomorrow, the Fed will make it clear that higher for longer policy is back and another HIKE could be possible.

The Fed still has a lot more work to do.

Will FOMC Decision Shake the Market?

Following three consecutive months of inflation reports surpassing expectations, traders are currently projecting September as the earliest month for the initial reduction, as indicated by the CME Group’s FedWatch tool. ------------ Will FOMC decision change rate cut expectation? Do you expect 1 or 2 rate cuts this year? Will Powell turn to hawkish or dovish in this meeting?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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