About PATH
- Process automation company,for which they do well in. But still often mistaken for AI as it is more ML based
- They have developed their own GenAI solution (Auto-pilot) but yet to be established commercially
- They had recently achieved GAAP positive and sitting on a big pool of cash (1b+)
- They have a good FCF
- Good in what they do but have stiff competition
Price Action (Update 25 May 2024)
- Earnings coming up on 29 May 2024
- Since hitting the recent high of 27, it has since come back down to a better value of around 20
- A bear flag had been formed from the breakdown from 23.80 on 21 Mar 2024 and had been in consolidation
- Had been unable to retrace back above Fib 38.2 so remains slightly bearish headed into earnings
Earnings bullish reaction
- A good push up to 22.17 up to 23.83 (range of oversupply resistance)
- Looks unlikely to break above 23.83 but if it does, then back to the previous high of 27 would be re-tested
Earnings bearish reaction
- The counter will move back to the better value range of 15 to 18
- Bear flag extension brings it to 15.60 where it will find support and consolidate sideways
- Resistance will be at 17.40
My plays
- Had started to nibble but in small amounts at 20
- Will look for bigger nibbles if it gaps down to 15.60 region
Good luck, all!
PATH Daily Chart - 25 May 2024
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