DEMAND FOR AZURE AI FAR OUTSTRIPPED SUPPLY

JaminBall
07-31

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ over and over again on the earnings call: DEMAND FOR AZURE AI FAR OUTSTRIPPED SUPPLY

must have been said 10+ times. Theme of the call "we're capacity constrained"

On CapEx - will continue build out as long as demand signals persist, which as of now are very strong

Some data / stats on AI related products at Microsoft. Real revenue!

Azure AI Services

- $5b run rate up 900% YoY

- 60k customers up 60% YoY

- Responsible for ~8% of overall Azure growth this Q

Developer Tools

- GitHub at $2b run rate (It was ~$1b in Sept '22)

- GitHub CoPilot: ~$300m ARR. They accounted for 40% of overall GitHub growth this year and is "larger than GitHub when Microsoft acquired it"

- 77k orgs using CoPilot up 180% YoY

- 480k orgs using AI powered capabilities in Power Platform. 48m MAUs up 40% YoY

Future of Work

- Daily users of Office Copilot doubled QoQ

- Office CoPilot customers grew 60% YoY

- Customers with >10k seats of Office CoPilot doubled QoQ

- 1k customers used CoPilot for Security

Azure at a ~$81B run rate growing 30% constant currency Quarterly YoY growth trends below. Also shown estimated growth ex AI services for last couple quarters. This quarter AI represented 8% of growth (7% last Q, 6% Q before, 3% Q before that, 1% Q before that)

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Below is an estimate of net new ARR added over the last few quarters.

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YoY growth trends in net new ARR per quarter

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https://twitter.com/jaminball/status/1818413670411780598

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