Sprouts Farmers Market: Valuation Concerns Rising, But Growth And Stability Match Momentum

Harrison Schwartz
08-26

Summary

  • Sprouts has seen significant growth over the past three years, with extremely high momentum over the past six months.
  • Sprouts benefits from consumer trends favoring low-cost or high-cost outlets, which gives it a widening market share as the "middle" middle-class shrinks.
  • Despite a strong balance sheet and business model, Sprouts may face recession risks and potential pricing pressure on non-essential goods, though that may be offset by competitors' closure risks.
  • The company's valuation is much higher than when I first became bullish in 2021; however, its growth trajectory makes it likely cheaper than COST.
  • At its current price, it may be best to wait for a correction before taking a bullish position in SFM.

SDI Productions

Three years ago, I published a very bullish outlook on the grocer Sprouts Farmers Market (NASDAQ:SFM) in "Sprouts Farmers Market: Health Equals Wealth." At the time, the stock was trading at a very low valuation while achieving record

Sprouts Benefits From Consumer Bifurcation

Data by YCharts

Sprouts May Face Greater Recession Risk

Data by YCharts

Sprout's Balance Sheet Strengthening

Data by YCharts

The Bottom Line

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Kiwi_G
    08-29
    Kiwi_G
    great write up! love the health food business model but it really does sit where ypu say..sad state when weight loss drug at other end of the tunnel 😖🤑
Leave a comment
1