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09-30
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  Will China's guidance on avoiding Nvidia Chips be an issue during the Chinese Stocks Rally? First Week of Oct would be a volatile week, but we anticipate gains at the end of week. Ahead of major job data coming out, we don't anticipate much deviations from previous data as the effect of the rate cut won't be immediate.


We do anticipate a market sell-off at the start of the week due to uncertainties, sector rotation, and investors' demand for 50bps cut next meeting. But the bearish sentiments and narratives wouldn't hold up long against the dip-buying momentum if such opportunities arise.

China is said to have given guidance to reduce the reliance of Nvidia chips. We don't anticipate any near-term sales impact so it would be too early to make any long-term predictions. It is important to understand China's stance here: Guidance is not equivalent to a ban or sanction as a ban of Nvidia chips will slow down the development of their AI startups, and they try to avoid starting a trade war.

They are already affected by the lack of access to the latest chips, further restriction would cause Chinese AI development to slow down even more. So we do not think that most of the companies will be following this guidance at all, and don't think the Chinese government is ready to hurt their economy further by imposing a ban.

Modified in.10-01
Nvidia Rebounds Pre-Earnings: Will You Bet on the AI King?
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