Disciple Huang
10-08

In light of today’s drop in Hong Kong stocks, especially contrasting with China’s rise due to the stimulus package, my strategy would lean towards buying the dip and utilizing a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) approach. While the market’s immediate reaction may seem concerning, it’s important to remember that volatility can present opportunities. DCA allows me to gradually build positions, reducing the risk of mistiming the market and smoothing out price fluctuations.

The Hong Kong market might continue to face headwinds, especially as global interest rate hikes and geopolitical tensions persist. However, as we approach the end of the year, there’s potential for a rebound. Historically, Q4 has seen renewed investor interest, particularly if more clarity emerges around China’s stimulus package and its ripple effects across the region. Sectors such as technology and consumer discretionary might see a revival as confidence returns.

So I’ll keep an eye on key economic indicators and any policy shifts from both Hong Kong and China. While near-term volatility is likely, the long-term fundamentals of many Hong Kong-listed companies remain strong, especially those with exposure to mainland China’s economic recovery. In this context, a buy-the-dip strategy combined with DCA aligns with my view, ensuring I stay invested while managing risk. $MEITUAN-W(03690)$ $PING AN(02318)$ $BABA-W(09988)$ $TENCENT(00700)$  $HKEX(00388)$  

Major Meeting: Can China Stocks Soar Again?
The Standing Committee of the National People's Congress of China will convene a meeting on November 4. It is widely expected that significant fiscal stimulus policies will be announced. Analysts believe that the outcome of the US presidential election could influence the scale of these policies. If Trump is elected, the scale of the stimulus may increase by 10% to 20% compared to the current plan. ------------------ Are you bullish on China's policies or not? Will the stimulus policy come as estimated?
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