Tigerong
10-13

With the latest new in Middle East .The Middle East conflict is worsening. In 2023, Hamas attacked Israel and took hostages back to Gaza. Israel retaliated by invading Gaza, and the situation remains unresolved. Israel is now battling on a second front, engaging Hezbollah, and in October, it invaded Lebanon. Last week, Iran launched 180 ballistic missiles at Israel, most of which were intercepted. In response, it is expected that Israel will retaliate, and there are rumors that Iran’s oil facilities may be the target.

Iran, a member of OPEC, accounts for about 3% of global output. While this is not a significant share, especially considering the economic sanctions Iran faces that restrict its supplies from reaching most markets, the real issue is Iran’s geographic influence. Iran controls key trade routes, such as the Strait of Hormuz, through which 30% of the world’s oil is transported. Historically, Iran has attacked tankers in the strait, and there is a possibility it could do so again if the conflict escalates.

Another key concern is the potential spread of the war, with more nations possibly getting involved, especially large oil producers like Saudi Arabia. Should that happen, it could further disrupt global oil supplies.

United state oil stock is a popular ETF with $1.3 billion in assets under management. It provides a convenient way to gain exposure to oil prices without having to buy oil futures directly, as the ETF handles buying and selling futures on behalf of investors.United state oil stock has tracked oil prices well, gaining 9% in the past week.

Iran-Israel Tensions: Will Oil Rebound or Hit New Low?
The sharp drop in oil prices has also led major Wall Street banks to lower their target prices. Goldman Sachs predicted an average oil price of $76 per barrel in 2025. The bank’s analysts noted that geopolitical risk premiums are limited, with no significant impact currently on Iran's supply facilities. Citigroup also adjusted its Brent crude oil price forecast for Q4, lowering it from the previous $74 per barrel to $70 per barrel. ----------------- Will oil hit new low? Or time to rebound?
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