$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ rise another 2.74% on Friday after a 22% surge on Thursday.
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Market recap
On 24th, Tesla skyrocketed by 22%, marking the largest increase in a decade. The Q3 result is a huge beat, with even growing gross margin and tremendous earnings. Coupled with optimistic earnings guidance, Tesla ignited market enthusiasm. Automobile revenue resumed growth after two consecutive quarters of decline, and the gross margin of Cybertruck turned positive. Musk announced that more affordable models would be produced in the first half of 2025 (fancy that, it's the long-rumored Model 2) and expected overall production to increase by 20-30% next year. These multiple benefits indicate that the Q4 performance may be further boosted.
Previously, Musk had already shouted out to the market through the We, Robot show, but the debate is only more than intense. The bullish view is that the earnings report released positive signals, price cuts are a thing of the past, and the future AI transformation will be the key to Tesla's profit margin improvement, buying all Elon's rosy pictures. The bearish believe that although the performance this quarter is outstanding, it may be difficult to sustain. There are doubts about whether Tesla can achieve the FSD performance and vehicle delivery growth targets in 2025, as well as the sustainability of the improving gross margin.
The progress in the mass production of Cybertruck, AI-based FSD software, and energy transformation is worth expecting. However, the cutthroat market of electric vehicles and self-driving taxis, where competition is fierce and margins are razor-thin, along with Tesla's rocket-high valuation, will make the market think twice.
Choose your strategy and never think twice
There is no best trading strategy, only the most suitable one. Find the most comfortable position in the market for trading.
Pick stocks with sufficient trading volume. With the support of fundamentals, when day trading, be bold to make quick decisions based on technical indicators. No else, profit should always be the only focus of day trading. Just focus on the stock's price behavior, technical indicators, and chart patterns, without considering other factors.
Judging the game between the bulls and the bears is the key point of trading. Use the Engulfing Pattern on the 5-minute candlesticks as your powerful tool.
Engulfing Patterns
The Engulfing Pattern consists of two candlesticks, one bearish and one bullish, indicating a trend reversal and the arrival of a buy (sell) point.
The Bullish Engulfing indicates that the downtrend is coming to an end, and the bears are losing momentum. The highest price of the second bullish line is higher than the highest price of the first bearish line, and the lowest price is also lower than the lowest price of the first bearish line, making it look like the second bullish line "engulfs" the body of the first bearish line.
The Bearish Engulfing occurs at the end of an uptrend, when the bulls are running out of steam, with higher highs and lower lows, and the second bearish line "devours" the first bullish line.
The Engulfing Pattern can show the ebb and flow of bullish and bearish forces. The significance of the Engulfing Pattern is related to the relative length of the bodies, the relationship between the shadows, and other factors. If the body of the first candlestick is very short, and the body of the second candlestick is very long, and the body of the second candlestick completely engulfs the first line - including the shadows, such an Engulfing Pattern is of greater significance. Similarly, if the second candlestick fails to completely engulf the first candlestick, the signal is usually not very strong, and verification is required.
The case
Taking Tesla's intraday trend on the 24th as an example, by opening the 5-minute candlestick chart, we can see three relatively obvious Engulfing Patterns.
First-time reverse: The body of the second bullish candlestick engulfs the body of the first bearish candlestick, but not so completely. At this time, the bulls and the bears are still in a game, but the momentum of the bears has weakened.
Second time: After a brief pullback, the price returns to the support point of the previous rally, and the bulls launch a strong attack. At this time, the second bullish candlestick completely engulfs the first bearish candlestick, confirming the trend.
Third time: The bears gain the upper hand. Similarly, it does not completely engulf the first bullish line. Therefore, the trend slightly reverses but does not last long, and the subsequent trend can basically confirm that the trading position is favorable for the bulls.
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