2024 US Election determines the market

东北星
11-03

The 2024 U.S. presidential election is just around the corner, and investors are bracing themselves for potential market volatility. Historically, elections have had a significant impact on the stock market and forex. Let's dive into how this election could affect the market and which companies and countries might feel the heat.

*Election Impact on the Market*

Past data shows that markets tend to perform well regardless of the election outcome. Since 1933, the S&P 500 Index has averaged a 14.4% return during periods of unified government control and 12.8% during divided government control. However, election years often see increased volatility, with investors becoming more conservative and pouring assets into money market funds).

*Trump Win: Potential Impact*

A Trump victory could benefit companies in the:

- Energy sector: Trump's policies have historically supported fossil fuel development.

- Defense industry: Trump's stance on military spending could boost defense contractors.

- Financial sector: Deregulation and tax cuts might favor banks and financial institutions.

On the other hand, companies in the:

- Renewable energy sector: Might face challenges due to Trump's climate policies.

- Immigration-dependent industries: Could struggle with stricter immigration laws.

*Harris Win: Potential Impact*

A Harris victory could benefit companies in the:

- Renewable energy sector: Harris's climate policies might boost renewable energy investments.

- Healthcare sector: Harris's support for expanded healthcare coverage could benefit healthcare providers.

- Education sector: Harris's emphasis on education could lead to increased funding for education companies.

Conversely, companies in the:

- Financial sector: Might face stricter regulations and higher taxes.

- Fossil fuel industry: Could struggle with Harris's climate policies.

*Companies and Countries Most Affected*

Countries with significant trade relationships with the U.S., such as China, Canada, and Mexico, might feel the impact of the election. Companies with global supply chains, like:

$Apple(AAPL)$  

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$  

$General Motors(GM)$  

might need to adapt to changing trade policies. Additionally, companies in industries directly affected by the candidates' policies, such as:

- Energy

- Finance

- Healthcare

will likely experience significant market fluctuations.

Of course, people like Eon Musk will also be affected as he has one of the biggest stakes in this election the moment he openly endorses Trump.

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  $Alibaba(BABA)$  

U.S. election affects stock markets
The rivalry between Trump and Harris in the U.S. election has attracted investors' attention. Some hedge funds are betting on Trump's victory, buying dollars and Japanese stocks. It is expected that Trump's victory will help the U.S. economy grow and keep inflation high. However, some investment giants have warned that Trump's victory will slow down global economic growth and have a negative impact on American enterprises. Market participants have assessed the possibility of Trump's victory, but have not yet fully priced Trump's victory prospects.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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