It will be extremely close. The media and polls are clueless . The poll numbers are all within the error bars and the media will support their own candidate (CNN Harris and FOX Trump) . Trump will create headaches for NATO and China . The war in Ukraine will stop because there will be no more money from the US. I expect China stocks to go down but right after the Nov 8 meeting , the Chinese gov will pump more stimulus into the country so I expect a rebound. This is a good opportunity to trade options in the volatility in my opinion. 

If Harris wins, wars will continue , more money printing , more woke culture ( which personally I think is ridiculous) and likely we see a expansion of the Ukraine war to include other countries. Despite her claims, she will just continue along the lines of the Biden policies and actions.