$NVDA: Phillip Securities Downgrades NVIDIA to Accumulate from Buy - PT $160 (from $155)
• 3Q25 results matched expectations, with revenue surpassing NVDA's guidance by 8% and PATMI up 109% YoY.
• 3Q25 revenue and PATMI hit 70% and 74% of FY25 forecasts, respectively.
• Data center sales split evenly between hyperscalers and enterprises/sovereign nations.
• Blackwell production starts in 4Q25, expected to exceed revenue forecasts by billions.
• Initial Blackwell margins are projected at the low to mid-70s, rising to mid-70s when fully ramped.
• FY25 forecasts unchanged, but FY26e forecasts increased due to strong data accelerator growth and lower tax rates.
• Adjusted FY26e margins lower due to Blackwell's impact.
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