Lengthy Article on why Li Auto

Lengthy Article on why Li Auto is the prime pick. once china investor confidence recovers, the stock will rocket on Q4 results and next Li Auto EV Sedan release $NIO Inc.(NIO.SI)$ $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDF)$$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ $Li Auto(LI)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

Li Auto: Best-Of-Breed EV Start-Up

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{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":375529568256040,"tweetId":"375529568256040","gmtCreate":1732685461850,"gmtModify":1732685466447,"author":{"id":4125545119825582,"idStr":"4125545119825582","authorId":4125545119825582,"authorIdStr":"4125545119825582","name":"HRHRHRHR","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-2","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"Executive Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $300,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.09.24","exceedPercentage":"80.87%","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":10,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body><p>Lengthy Article on why Li Auto is the prime pick. once china investor confidence recovers, the stock will rocket on Q4 results and next Li Auto EV Sedan release&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO.SI\">$NIO Inc.(NIO.SI)$&nbsp;</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BYDDF\">$BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDF)$</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LI\">$Li Auto(LI)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Lengthy Article on why Li Auto is the prime pick. once china investor confidence recovers, the stock will rocket on Q4 results and next Li Auto EV Sedan release&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO.SI\">$NIO Inc.(NIO.SI)$&nbsp;</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BYDDF\">$BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDF)$</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/LI\">$Li Auto(LI)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;</p></body></html>","text":"Lengthy Article on why Li Auto is the prime pick. once china investor confidence recovers, the stock will rocket on Q4 results and next Li Auto EV Sedan release $NIO Inc.(NIO.SI)$ $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDF)$$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ $Li Auto(LI)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/375529568256040","repostId":1169655866,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1169655866","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1732679609,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169655866?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-11-27 11:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Li Auto: Best-Of-Breed EV Start-Up","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169655866","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryLi Auto remains my top EV investment due to strong Q3 results, high vehicle margins, positive (operating) income, and robust delivery growth.Li Auto outperformed NIO and XPeng in vehicle margin","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_2640772954\">Summary</h2><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Li Auto remains my top EV investment due to strong Q3 results, high vehicle margins, positive (operating) income, and robust delivery growth.</p></li><li><p>Li Auto outperformed NIO and XPeng in vehicle margins, achieving 20.9% in Q3, compared to XPeng&#39;s 8.6% and NIO&#39;s 13.1%.</p></li><li><p>Li Auto&#39;s Q4 outlook is favorable with strong delivery volume and revenue growth, making it a strong buy at a P/S ratio of 0.9X.</p></li><li><p>The biggest risks relate to the firm&#39;s margin trajectory and delivery growth pace, but Li Auto&#39;s profitability reduces investment risks.</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/612f492b89b56ab8c7432a5c05a3c668\" alt=\"BYD, AION, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Leapmotor, Neta, Denza and Zeekr car App icons. Chinese electric car brands\" title=\"BYD, AION, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Leapmotor, Neta, Denza and Zeekr car App icons. Chinese electric car brands\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/><span>BYD, AION, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Leapmotor, Neta, Denza and Zeekr car App icons. Chinese electric car brands</span></p><p></p><p>Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) remains my favorite EV investment in the crowded Chinese electric vehicle industry. The EV maker reported strong third quarter results that included a sequential improvement in vehicle margins, positive operating, GAAP income, and strong delivery growth as well as a favorable outlook for the fourth quarter in terms of deliveries. Li Auto is also outperforming other EV start-ups in terms of delivery growth and has by far the highest margins, making the EV maker the preferred investment choice, in my opinion, for investors.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2d71a544539ee25beee5ebc2c8673409\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_3425670264\">Previous rating</h2><p>I rated shares of Li Auto a strong buy in my work in September – Strong EV Choice, Low Price – as I saw a positive margin trajectory, and the EV company continued to grow much faster than its electric vehicle rivals. These trends continued in the third quarter as Li Auto outperformed both NIO (NIO) and XPeng (XPEV) in terms of vehicle margins.</p><h2 id=\"id_569487585\">Li Auto continues to dominate the EV competition in terms of growth and margins</h2><p>Li Auto generated 42.9B Chinese Yuan ($6.1B) in revenue in the September quarter, showing 23.6% year-over-year growth. The EV maker also delivered a record number of vehicles in the third quarter: a total of 152,831 electric vehicles fund their way to customers, showing 45% year-over-year growth. This momentum continued in the third quarter, which is when the EV maker delivered 51,443 vehicles in October 2024, up 27.3% year-over-year. While deliveries slipped slightly in the month of October, the EV company has been clearly seeing a massive upsurge in deliveries since the beginning of the year. Li Auto now has delivered more than 1M electric vehicles over its lifetime, making the EV maker a considerable force in the EV start-up segment. While Li Auto deliveries surged 45% in the third quarter, NIO only saw 12% Y/Y delivery growth and XPeng 16% Y/Y.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/33f323ae01516182949ef2d045c88fb1\" alt=\"CNEVPOST\" title=\"CNEVPOST\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"335\"/><span>CNEVPOST</span></p><p></p><p>Most importantly, the EV company made progress in terms of growing its already high vehicle margins: as of the end of September, the electric vehicle maker had a vehicle margin of 20.9%, showing 2.2 PP growth quarter-over-quarter... which makes Li Auto the EV maker with the highest margins as well. For comparison, XPeng reported a vehicle margin of only 8.6% (+2.2 PP Q/Q) and NIO of 13.1% (+0.9 PP Q/Q) for the third quarter. Therefore, Li Auto has a considerable margin advantage over both competitors and therefore remains one of the best bets, I believe, that investors can make in the EV start-up group.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/005f36e336c62d28a1664cc1f83e50e8\" alt=\"Li Auto\" title=\"Li Auto\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"260\"/><span>Li Auto</span></p><p></p><p>Additionally, Li Auto is also the only EV maker in the start-up group that is already profitable on both an operating and a net income basis. This gives Li Auto a fundamental advantage over its rivals and translates to fewer investment risks for investors seeking out an EV play for investment...</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/169f712fdc59b366f7fac43fc1a2aecb\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"559\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_1699652368\">Outlook for Q4</h2><p>Li Auto’s outlook for the fourth quarter calls for a total delivery volume of 160,000 and 170,000 vehicles, which implies a delivery growth rate, Y/Y, of 21-29%. In terms of revenues, the EV company is looking to generate 43.2-45.9B Chinese Yuan ($6.2-6.5B) which implies a year-over-year top line growth rate of up to 10%.</p><h2 id=\"id_1614252616\">Li Auto’s valuation</h2><p>The electric vehicle industry has become much more competitive in the last several years, leading to downward pressure on margins for many companies. This makes Li Auto’s 20%+ vehicle margins even more impressive, in my opinion, and together with much stronger delivery growth, I find it hard to find better value in the EV start-up industry. Since Li Auto is already profitable, but its rivals are not, I am using a revenue-based multiplier to value the EV company.</p><p>Li Auto is currently valued at a price-to-revenue ratio of 0.89X, which ironically makes the best-performing EV company the second cheapest in its industry group. NIO and XPeng have price-to-revenue ratios of 0.72X and 1.16X, with the industry group P/S ratio standing at 0.92X. However, Li Auto has traded at significantly higher revenue multipliers in the past, but pricing pressure and increasing competition in the electric vehicle market have led to souring investor attitudes about EV investments. In my opinion, it would be a big mistake to neglect Li Auto specifically because the EV maker is clearly dominating its rivals in terms of both vehicle margins and delivery growth.</p><p>In the long term, I expect Li Auto to return to its 3-year valuation average, especially with deliveries ramping up and the company now targeting the next million units in deliveries. A 1.45X P/S ratio implies a fair value in the region of $37 per share. If Li Auto continues to execute well on its growth strategy, boosts deliveries, and maintains high margins, I can definitely see the company grow into a higher valuation.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b30363ccd02de3a5986e8583eda76188\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"559\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_2185572109\">Risks with Li Auto</h2><p>The biggest risk for Li Auto, as I see it, relates to the margin trajectory as well as the pace of delivery growth. Any weakness here in terms of delivery growth, or a deterioration in the margin trend, and we would likely see an immediate impact on the company’s valuation factor. What would change my mind about Li Auto specifically is if it were to lose its industry group-leading position in terms of vehicle margins or if the company dropped below the 50,000 unit monthly delivery benchmark.</p><h2 id=\"id_1764907286\">Final thoughts</h2><p>Li Auto generated a strong earnings report for the third quarter at the end of October, and it underscored why I think so highly of the EV start-up: Li Auto crushes its rivals in terms of vehicle margins as well as delivery growth. From this vantage point, I see Li Auto still as the most promising investment for investors. The fact that Li Auto is already profitable on both an operating and GAAP income basis reduces risks for investors and makes the EV start-up one of the most attractive investments in the sector, in my opinion. Lastly, Li Auto has a very attractive valuation, trading 38% below its longer term, 3-year P/S valuation average. With a strong outlook in place for the fourth quarter as well, in terms of deliveries, I believe Li Auto does have the best risk profile in the EV industry start-up group.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Li Auto: Best-Of-Breed EV Start-Up</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLi Auto: Best-Of-Breed EV Start-Up\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-11-27 11:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4740339-li-auto-best-of-breed-ev-start-up><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryLi Auto remains my top EV investment due to strong Q3 results, high vehicle margins, positive (operating) income, and robust delivery growth.Li Auto outperformed NIO and XPeng in vehicle ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4740339-li-auto-best-of-breed-ev-start-up\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"02015":"理想汽车-W","LI":"理想汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4740339-li-auto-best-of-breed-ev-start-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1169655866","content_text":"SummaryLi Auto remains my top EV investment due to strong Q3 results, high vehicle margins, positive (operating) income, and robust delivery growth.Li Auto outperformed NIO and XPeng in vehicle margins, achieving 20.9% in Q3, compared to XPeng's 8.6% and NIO's 13.1%.Li Auto's Q4 outlook is favorable with strong delivery volume and revenue growth, making it a strong buy at a P/S ratio of 0.9X.The biggest risks relate to the firm's margin trajectory and delivery growth pace, but Li Auto's profitability reduces investment risks.BYD, AION, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Leapmotor, Neta, Denza and Zeekr car App icons. Chinese electric car brandsLi Auto (NASDAQ:LI) remains my favorite EV investment in the crowded Chinese electric vehicle industry. The EV maker reported strong third quarter results that included a sequential improvement in vehicle margins, positive operating, GAAP income, and strong delivery growth as well as a favorable outlook for the fourth quarter in terms of deliveries. Li Auto is also outperforming other EV start-ups in terms of delivery growth and has by far the highest margins, making the EV maker the preferred investment choice, in my opinion, for investors.ChartPrevious ratingI rated shares of Li Auto a strong buy in my work in September – Strong EV Choice, Low Price – as I saw a positive margin trajectory, and the EV company continued to grow much faster than its electric vehicle rivals. These trends continued in the third quarter as Li Auto outperformed both NIO (NIO) and XPeng (XPEV) in terms of vehicle margins.Li Auto continues to dominate the EV competition in terms of growth and marginsLi Auto generated 42.9B Chinese Yuan ($6.1B) in revenue in the September quarter, showing 23.6% year-over-year growth. The EV maker also delivered a record number of vehicles in the third quarter: a total of 152,831 electric vehicles fund their way to customers, showing 45% year-over-year growth. This momentum continued in the third quarter, which is when the EV maker delivered 51,443 vehicles in October 2024, up 27.3% year-over-year. While deliveries slipped slightly in the month of October, the EV company has been clearly seeing a massive upsurge in deliveries since the beginning of the year. Li Auto now has delivered more than 1M electric vehicles over its lifetime, making the EV maker a considerable force in the EV start-up segment. While Li Auto deliveries surged 45% in the third quarter, NIO only saw 12% Y/Y delivery growth and XPeng 16% Y/Y.CNEVPOSTMost importantly, the EV company made progress in terms of growing its already high vehicle margins: as of the end of September, the electric vehicle maker had a vehicle margin of 20.9%, showing 2.2 PP growth quarter-over-quarter... which makes Li Auto the EV maker with the highest margins as well. For comparison, XPeng reported a vehicle margin of only 8.6% (+2.2 PP Q/Q) and NIO of 13.1% (+0.9 PP Q/Q) for the third quarter. Therefore, Li Auto has a considerable margin advantage over both competitors and therefore remains one of the best bets, I believe, that investors can make in the EV start-up group.Li AutoAdditionally, Li Auto is also the only EV maker in the start-up group that is already profitable on both an operating and a net income basis. This gives Li Auto a fundamental advantage over its rivals and translates to fewer investment risks for investors seeking out an EV play for investment...ChartOutlook for Q4Li Auto’s outlook for the fourth quarter calls for a total delivery volume of 160,000 and 170,000 vehicles, which implies a delivery growth rate, Y/Y, of 21-29%. In terms of revenues, the EV company is looking to generate 43.2-45.9B Chinese Yuan ($6.2-6.5B) which implies a year-over-year top line growth rate of up to 10%.Li Auto’s valuationThe electric vehicle industry has become much more competitive in the last several years, leading to downward pressure on margins for many companies. This makes Li Auto’s 20%+ vehicle margins even more impressive, in my opinion, and together with much stronger delivery growth, I find it hard to find better value in the EV start-up industry. Since Li Auto is already profitable, but its rivals are not, I am using a revenue-based multiplier to value the EV company.Li Auto is currently valued at a price-to-revenue ratio of 0.89X, which ironically makes the best-performing EV company the second cheapest in its industry group. NIO and XPeng have price-to-revenue ratios of 0.72X and 1.16X, with the industry group P/S ratio standing at 0.92X. However, Li Auto has traded at significantly higher revenue multipliers in the past, but pricing pressure and increasing competition in the electric vehicle market have led to souring investor attitudes about EV investments. In my opinion, it would be a big mistake to neglect Li Auto specifically because the EV maker is clearly dominating its rivals in terms of both vehicle margins and delivery growth.In the long term, I expect Li Auto to return to its 3-year valuation average, especially with deliveries ramping up and the company now targeting the next million units in deliveries. A 1.45X P/S ratio implies a fair value in the region of $37 per share. If Li Auto continues to execute well on its growth strategy, boosts deliveries, and maintains high margins, I can definitely see the company grow into a higher valuation.ChartRisks with Li AutoThe biggest risk for Li Auto, as I see it, relates to the margin trajectory as well as the pace of delivery growth. Any weakness here in terms of delivery growth, or a deterioration in the margin trend, and we would likely see an immediate impact on the company’s valuation factor. What would change my mind about Li Auto specifically is if it were to lose its industry group-leading position in terms of vehicle margins or if the company dropped below the 50,000 unit monthly delivery benchmark.Final thoughtsLi Auto generated a strong earnings report for the third quarter at the end of October, and it underscored why I think so highly of the EV start-up: Li Auto crushes its rivals in terms of vehicle margins as well as delivery growth. From this vantage point, I see Li Auto still as the most promising investment for investors. The fact that Li Auto is already profitable on both an operating and GAAP income basis reduces risks for investors and makes the EV start-up one of the most attractive investments in the sector, in my opinion. Lastly, Li Auto has a very attractive valuation, trading 38% below its longer term, 3-year P/S valuation average. With a strong outlook in place for the fourth quarter as well, in terms of deliveries, I believe Li Auto does have the best risk profile in the EV industry start-up group.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":433,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["XPEV","TSLA","BYDDF","NIO.SI","LI","02015","09868"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":217,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/375529568256040"}