Option Strategies: .SPX, MSTR, COIN& TSLA

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!

1.

$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ Monthly Analysis 📈

Trigger: 400 ✅

Trade idea: MSTR Dec 20 440C

Targets: 447,465 🎯

Technical Setup:

MSTR broke out of its long base in February. After consolidating for 7 months, it saw a massive breakout in October as Bitcoin broke its ATHs.

Currently, $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ is sitting just under $100K, with a recent pullback to $90K earlier this week. Similarly, MSTR pulled back to $330 from its highs of $543.

The $330 level is significant as it marks the highs from the Dot-com bubble. If $BTC pushes above $100K, we could see MSTR’s next leg higher towards $700.

Bitcoin Holdings:

MicroStrategy owns 386,700 BTC (as of Nov. 25, 2024), acquired at an average price of $56,658 per BTC, for a total cost of $21.91B. At current Bitcoin prices (~$94K), their holdings are worth over $36 billion.

This strategy allows MSTR to act as a leveraged proxy for Bitcoin, amplifying its value for investors during BTC bull runs.

Valuation & Leverage:

The current market cap of MSTR is $89.6B, with their BTC reserves accounting for ~40% of that value. Using a 2.5x multiple of their Bitcoin reserves, the company’s value mirrors a leveraged Bitcoin position.

For every $10K increase in BTC, MSTR’s BTC reserves grow by $3.867B. Applying the 2.5x multiple translates to a $10B increase in market cap which equates to approximately $44.50 per share.

Price Target Scenarios:

If BTC reaches $200K by the end of 2025, $MSTR’s valuation under the 2.5x multiple should lead to a stock price near $850.

My price target for MSTR by the end of 2025 is $700, assuming BTC trades at/near $165K.

Not financial advice – just my thoughts!

2.

TRADE PLAN for Thursday 📈

$.SPX(.SPX)$ breakout day after the gap up near 6071. SPX 6100 test can come tomorrow. IF SPX breaks 6100 we can see 6150-6200 this month

6110C can work above 6090

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 342 massive breakout level for a run to 378,400. Calls can work above 328 tmrw

COIN 340C can work above 328

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ keep an eye on 358-360 range IF TSLA can break above 360 it will test a key resistance at 363. TSLA above 363 can run to 400+

365C is best near 360

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