$XLP - A smaller flag forming ahead of CPI within the broader rally of a larger bull flag

jfsrevg
12-12

$Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLP)$ - A smaller flag forming ahead of CPI within the broader rally of a larger bull flag.

With the monthly CPI data set to be released pre-market at 8:30 AM ET, XLP and $Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLY)$ sector ideas could see momentum if the actual data deviates from forecasts.

XLP is currently the 3rd strongest 1-month relative strength (RS) sector, trailing only $Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLC)$ and XLY. It is also the only sector, alongside XLC, to close with gains in yesterday's session - (XLC's performance was largely driven by $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ 's +5.6% surge following the launch of its Willow chip for quantum computing)

XLP has already broken out of a major bull flag with an initial peak-to-trough of +15%. The current mini flagpole stands at +4%, with price action mini flagging alongside the rising 10- and 20-DMA.

Currently XLP is only 1.5x its ATR% extension from the 50-DMA, while historically, it tends to peak around 5x ATR% extension. At its current levels, XLP represents a favorable risk-to-reward setup if it breaks above its flag range at $83. This exemplifies the ideal balance of risk and reward in a trading setup, in my opinion.

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