Historically, this period has

2024-12-23

Historically, this period has yielded positive returns approximately 76% of the time since 1999, with an average gain of 1.7% when a rally occurs.

As of today, the S&P 500 has gained over 23% this year. However, December has seen declines, raising concerns about the likelihood of a Santa Claus Rally. The Federal Reserve’s recent indication of fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 has contributed to market volatility.

Despite these challenges, some analysts remain optimistic. They note that the market’s primary uptrends are still intact and the economy remains strong, suggesting the possibility of a year-end rally!

Fingers crossed!

Treasury Yields Weigh on Market: How Many Rate Cuts in 2025?

Rising U.S. Treasury Yields Hit Risk Assets? The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 3.8 basis points to 4.855%, briefly reaching a high of 4.861%, the highest since November 2023. ISM data hit a two-year high, leading to a decrease in the probability of rate cuts. Goldman Sachs believes there may be no rate cuts this year. Friday's non-farm payroll data will be crucial for the broader market. ------------ Is the market overreacting to the ISM data? Is now a good time to buy U.S. Treasuries? Will U.S. Treasuries fill the gap at $85?

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