Explanations for the decline.
The impact of DeepSeek: DeepSeek's significant reduction in training costs has triggered market fears of a disruptive shift to NVIDIA's "AI chip-based computing power model."
Technical downward: Since November 7, 2024, the stock price entered a nearly two-month consolidation period without forming a significant upward breakout.
Frequent earnings disappointments in tech stocks: Google and AMD's earnings reports fell short of expectations, weighing on market sentiment.
NVIDIA's long-term value
The stock price creates a margin of safety: The current price is nearing a key support level, with limited room for further decline.
Strong long-term fundamentals: NVIDIA remains the undisputed leader in the AI chip sector, with its GPU technology being irreplaceable in data centers, autonomous driving, gaming, and other fields.
Opportunities and risks
Opportunities
Valuation recovery after the decline: The stock's margin of safety has increased
The AI wave is irreversible: NVIDIA's long-term growth outlook remains unchanged as the core supplier of AI infrastructure.
FCN: The coupon rate and strike price ratio of related FCNs are more attractive.
Risk
Stock price downward momentum: There is potential for further decline
Policy uncertainty
Intensified industry competition
Recent earnings reports have implied increased volatility.
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