Cool Cat Winston
04-10

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@Barcode：$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 🚨 $NVDA: The $100 Siren Song and the Abyss of Institutional Absence, A Trader’s Revelation 🚨 As the clock ticks into the early hours of 09Apr25 I find Nvidia ($NVDA) flickering across my screens at $94.35 in the overnight session, a ghostly retreat from its $96.30 close, down 1.37% from the regular session’s end. Earlier, it danced tantalisingly close to the $100 mark, peaking at $105.85 intraday, only to recoil as if scorched by the sun. Let me be clear, that $100 level is no promised land, it’s a siren song, luring retail dreamers to their doom while the institutional titans watch from the shadows, unmoved. This isn’t a breakout, it’s a reckoning. Zooming out, I see the yellow zig-zag pattern etched across the chart like a seismograph of faltering resolve, lower highs, lower lows, a rhythm of capitulation. This is no mere oscillation, it’s the market whispering a truth the impatient refuse to hear, momentum is bleeding out. The $118.84 level towers above us, a citadel of resistance forged by the last major swing candle. Without a daily close breaching that fortress, the bearish narrative reigns supreme, unyielding and cold. 📊 The Battleground: Key Levels to Watch Support: 🔴 $86.60: The precipice, below this, the abyss beckons 🟠 $90.80: A fragile ledge in the descent 🟡 $94.40: The immediate line in the sand, teetering now Resistance: 🟡 $98.40: A fleeting hope, easily crushed 🟠 $102.00: The gatekeeper to any bullish redemption 🔴 $105.40: Where dreams have shattered before These aren’t just numbers, they’re the scars of past battles, the proving grounds of conviction. The $86.60 support is a fault line, its fracture could trigger a cascade of panic. Meanwhile, $105.40 stands as a monument to bullish hubris, repeatedly repelling assaults with ruthless efficiency. 📉 The Crowd’s Folly: Retail vs. Reality Peering into the data, I note a staggering 92.667% retail accumulation, a statistic that screams euphoria, not strength. The crowd is piling in, hands trembling with greed, while the institutional desks remain eerily silent. This isn’t coincidence, it’s history’s playbook unfolding. When retail fervour peaks without the smart money’s blessing, exhaustion looms, not opportunity. The market thrives on this imbalance, a machine designed to redistribute wealth from the many to the few. I’ve seen it before, and I’m watching it now. 📉 Technical Arsenal: The Bearish Constellation Let’s dissect the dashboard: • MACD: ❌ A bearish crossover screams from the charts, a death knell with no hint of reprieve • RSI: ⚠️ Languishing below 50, devoid of bullish divergence, a momentum graveyard • BlackBox Signal: 🟥 An 82.3% probability of mid-term bearish continuation, a statistical sword hanging overhead • Volume: 🧨 Sell pressure thunders, while buy conviction whispers, rallies fade, declines roar • Short-Term Trigger: 🟨 Unactivated at $100.30, a threshold untouched by this faltering ascent These aren’t mere indicators, they’re the pulse of the market’s intent. The MACD’s crossover is a clarion call, the RSI’s weakness a confirmation, and the BlackBox’s odds a mathematical prophecy. Volume, the truest arbiter, paints a picture of desperation on the upside and resolve on the downside. The bulls are gasping, the bears are circling. 💡 The Double Trap: A Market’s Deception The price action tells a story of betrayal. The rejection near $107, echoing the prior peak of $117.875, followed by the breakdown below $96.30, forms a “double trap”. It’s a sinister play, breakout buyers rush in at $107, dip buyers leap at $96.30, and both are ensnared as the floor gives way. This isn’t chaos, it’s choreography. Volume distribution lays bare the script, tapering on rallies, surging on drops. The smart money’s absence is the final clue, this rally lacks the muscle to endure. 🧠 My Verdict: Distribution in Disguise This isn’t consolidation, it’s distribution cloaked as a bounce. The chart reeks of weakness, a façade of hope propped up by retail zeal. Unless I witness a ferocious reclaim of $102, backed by unrelenting volume and velocity, my stance remains unapologetically bearish. The market is poised to harvest the naïve, and I refuse to be its prey. 📌 My Playbook: • If $94.40 Falls on Volume, I’m targeting $90.80, then $86.60, swift, precise strikes • If Bulls Seize $102 with Force, I’ll pause, reassess, but only with ironclad evidence of intent ⚡ The Crossroads: Opportunity or Oblivion? Here we stand, at the edge of chaos. Is this the prelude to a violent AI-driven squeeze, or the harvest of retail exuberance by unseen hands? The answer hides in the next move’s vigour, volume will unmask the victor. For those daring to wade into this maelstrom, the spoils could be immense, but the risks are sharper still. Only the disciplined, the vigilant, will emerge with their capital intact. Don’t blink, this saga’s next chapter is brewing. Like, repost, and follow me for setups that pierce the fog, trends that redefine the game, and insights that turn chaos into profit. I live for the hunt, decoding the market’s riddles to stack gains with surgical precision. Join me, and let’s master this beast together. Trade like a titan, may your moves be bold and your profits boundless. Happy trading ahead! Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀 @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerWire @TigerPicks
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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