WendyOneP
04-30

$POP MART(09992)$ POP Mart’s surge following the release of Labubu 3.0 screams euphoric top. Designer toys are a niche market, and while Labubu’s popularity is undeniable, chasing a parabolic move driven by limited-edition hype is rarely wise.

The business is heavily reliant on a handful of IPs, and the collectible toy boom may be peaking as discretionary spending weakens, especially among young consumers. Re-runs of older figures and oversupply risk diluting scarcity — a key pricing pillar in this model.

Valuations are stretched, and international expansion is still experimental. Any slowdown in hype, production misstep, or inventory build-up could trigger a sharp correction.

Conclusion:
Labubu 3.0 is a marketing triumph, but investing now is chasing momentum — not fundamentals. The smart money may already be selling into the excitement.

Pop Mart Defies the Falling Trend & Rebounds! Eyeing HK$300?
JPMorgan sharply cut its target price for Pop Mart from HK$400 to HK$300. Then the stock dips till $252 and rebounded yesterday despite HK market decline? 1. Do you think Pop Mart can maintain investor excitement without near-term major catalysts? 2. Will Labubu & Friends and interactive toys meaningfully expand Pop Mart’s IP value? 3. At what price level would you consider Pop Mart a buy?
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