Queengirlypops
06-17

Great article, would you like to share it?

@Barcode：$Occidental(OXY)$ $ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil(UCO)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2507(CLmain)$ $Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf(XOP)$ $VanEck Oil Refiners ETF(CRAK)$ 🛢️🔥📈 Strait Pressure: Oil, War, and the $PARR, $OXY, $RTX Power Trade 📈🔥🛢️ Markets are no longer reacting to headlines, they’re realigning around them. With Israel striking deep into Iranian territory, including energy and missile infrastructure, and Iran activating air defenses over Bandar Abbas, the stakes have escalated into global territory. The Strait of Hormuz now sits in the crosshairs, a choke point for nearly 20% of the world’s oil. Tehran has confirmed the South Pars Gas Field was hit, and lawmakers are openly discussing a Hormuz closure. U.S. military bases have gone on high alert. Surveillance aircraft and air refuelling tankers are swarming American skies in patterns historically seen before major combat deployments. Civilian flights are rerouting through Moscow. Trump’s response? “They may need to fight it out before a deal.” This is not noise. This is capital rotation in real time, and the setup on oil and defense equities is coiling for an explosive rerate. 💥 $PARR: The Oil Refiner That Could Outrun War Current: $24.49 (+2.17%, 13 June 2025 NZST) Up 84% since April, $PARR is a low-float refining sleeper that’s starting to shout. The chart shows clean consolidation just under $24.76 resistance. MA stack is bullish (MA5 $22.01, MA20 $16.56), and RSI at 60.12 suggests there’s gas in the tank. Par Pacific is insulated from U.S. mainland refinery glut via its Hawaii-centric operations, and that geographic buffer could prove a goldmine if the Strait tightens. Low P/S at 0.16 (vs. Valero’s 0.40) and institutional positioning by Citadel, plus analyst targets at $28 to $32, create both momentum and value tailwinds. Catalysts: • Hormuz closure risk • Short float under 4% • Resistance flip at $24.76 • Sector momentum via $CRAK and $XOP leadership Target ladder: • $26.31 near-term • $30 mid-term • $32 stretch target 🔥 $OXY: Buffett’s Bet Poised for Fibonacci Acceleration Current: $47.12 (+3.45%, 13 June 2025 NZST) Occidental Petroleum is setting up for a massive wave 3 of 3, with Fibonacci extensions pointing to $94.75 and $161.25. The technical base is strong, options OI at $50 calls just spiked 22%, and RSI at 55.12 keeps the bullish frame intact. Buffett’s 28% stake offers a backstop, while macro aligns: OPEC+ supply hesitancy, China PMI at 51.2, and Brent-WTI spreads widening. The Permian exposure (400K barrels per day) gives $OXY production torque that could become seismic. Analyst heat: • Goldman Sachs raised to $65 • Morgan Stanley eyes $90 on disruption scenarios Key triggers: • Oil above $80 • $49 gap fill • Continuation to $60 🚨 $RTX: The Defense Breakout with Congressional Backing Current: $147.00 (13 June 2025 NZST, all-time high) $RTX isn’t just a breakout chart, it’s a strategic bet. RSI at 58.23, surging volume at $150 to $160 strikes, and price cleanly above the 50-day MA suggest institutional demand is anticipating prolonged conflict. Recent missile strikes validate RTX’s relevance: their Patriot and AMRAAM systems are actively deployed. Congressional buys from Reps. Westerman and Gottheimer came weeks before the escalation. And then this: Meta, OpenAI, and Palantir CTOs have been sworn into the U.S. Army’s Executive Innovation Corps as lieutenant colonels. This fusion of AI and defense is no longer theoretical. It’s formal doctrine. Targets: • $150 immediate • $158 to $170 medium-term • $185 extended 🧠 The AI–Defense Complex Is Real The June 14 swearing-in ceremony was a paradigm shift. OpenAI’s Kevin Weil, Meta’s Andrew Bosworth, Palantir’s Shyam Sankar — all joining Detachment 201 to modernise battlefield systems. $RTX, $AVAV, and $PLTR stand to benefit from the retooling of U.S. military infrastructure using commercial AI. The IDF has stated Iran was “days away” from having a nuclear bomb. Their doctrine is clear, strike preemptively or risk a larger war down the line. 📊 Options Flow, Volatility, and Volume Watch • $PARR: Block buys at $24, resistance breach incoming • $OXY: Bull spreads at $50 to $55, 22% OI spike • $RTX: Call sweeps at $150, JPMorgan targets $165 • Oil options skew and vol are easing, but poised to spike on hard news 📈 Macro Context and Earnings Tailwind Energy stocks are broadly outperforming. 90% of $XOP names have beaten $SPY since last earnings. Refiners like $CRAK and $PARR are leading the charge, with $GPRE, $CVI, $VTLE, $KOS, $DK, and $FANG trailing strong. Crude futures are charging toward $80, with $USOIL still below its 2025 high. If a physical supply disruption hits, we’re looking at triple-digit oil and a supercharged energy sector rerate. 🛡️ Military Escalation Checklist • Iran vows retaliation after South Pars hit • U.S. Air Force tankers flood northeast airspace (historically precedes active deployment) • U.S. bases go on lockdown across the country • Hormuz closure “seriously under review” • Trump says “they may need to fight it out” • Israel on full national pause with school and workplace shutdowns 🎯 Actionable Takeaways • $PARR: Buy breakout above $24.76. Target $26.31, $30, $32 • $OXY: Accumulate on dips. Target $60 to $94.75 • $RTX: Hold strength above $150. Target $158 to $185 • Hedge: Long $UCO or $GUSH for oil spike exposure • Watch: Strait of Hormuz news, flight radar anomalies, institutional flow in $CRAK and $XOP 🧨 Conclusion: This Is the New Regime What began as an oil pop on a Friday headline has now matured into a global capital shift. From tankers to tech colonels, from flight reroutes to fuel pipelines, this crisis is reshaping portfolios, risk premia, and geopolitical chessboards. $PARR, $OXY, and $RTX aren’t short-term trades, they’re war-cycle leaders. The charts have already turned. The capital is rotating. 📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀 Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀 @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @TigerWire @TigerPicks @TigerStars @Daily_Discussion
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment
2