Ceasefire Rally Lifts Global Markets

Tiger V
06-25

🌍 Overview: Relief Rally Across the Board

Global markets surged on June 24 as a ceasefire between Israel and Iran sparked optimism and reduced geopolitical risk. The prospect of stability in the Middle East triggered a risk-on sentiment, sending equities higher and oil prices sharply lower. Investors rotated into equities, with gains across the US, Europe, and Asia.


🇺🇸 US Markets: Relief and Risk-On

US stocks posted broad-based gains, with the Dow Jones $DJIA(.DJI)$   rising 507 points (+1.1%) to 43,089.02 and the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$  advancing 67 points (+1.1%) to 6,092.18. The Nasdaq Composite$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$   rose even further with a 1.4% gain. The market cheered de-escalation in the Middle East, which lowered oil prices and inflation expectations, boosting sentiment. Energy stocks lagged, but tech and industrials led the rally.


🇪🇺 Europe: DAX Leads on Peace Optimism

European indices closed higher, led by Germany’s DAX, which jumped 1.6%, followed by France’s CAC 40 gaining 1.0%. The UK’s FTSE 100 was flat, likely weighed down by a decline in oil and commodity stocks. A potential ceasefire removed a key overhang for European investors concerned about energy supply disruptions.


🌏 Asia: Ceasefire Sparks Broad Gains

Asian equities followed the global upward trend, supported by geopolitical relief and a positive handoff from Wall Street. Japan’s Nikkei 225 climbed 1.1%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng$HSI(HSI)$   rallied 2.0%, and China’s Shanghai Composite added 1.1%. The upbeat mood boosted tech and export-oriented names.


🔭 Outlook and Insights: Watching for Follow-Through

While markets rallied on the ceasefire news, investors will watch closely for signs that peace holds. A sustainable de-escalation could lead to further risk-taking and possibly encourage central banks to maintain or ease policy settings. However, oil price volatility and macro data later this week (especially from the US) will test the durability of this rally.


✅ Conclusion

Monday's market action showed how sensitive investors are to geopolitical headlines. With fears of escalation easing, equities found renewed strength. If the ceasefire remains intact, global markets could maintain their bullish bias — but expect near-term volatility as traders weigh peace prospects against economic data and earnings momentum.

US Airstrikes = Stock Market Victory? Invest US or Israel Stocks?
On June 21, Trump announced US military had carried out precision strikes on three key Iranian nuclear facilities — Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. However, the market doesn't react too much on Monday. Some say it's a victory for stock market. How do you view market still hold a high level despite airstrikes? Problems all cleared or declines postponed?
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