*My outlook on Tesla’s earnings report (Q2 2025), releasing today:*

🔻 *Leaning Bearish (Cautious)*

Here’s why:

1. *Weak Delivery Numbers*

* Tesla delivered *384,000 vehicles*, down *13% YoY*.

* Missed analyst expectations of ~390,000.

* Declining demand and growing inventories signal softness.

2. *Margin Pressure*

* Tesla’s frequent price cuts and competition from BYD and others likely compressed *automotive gross margins*, possibly below 15%.

3. *Market Share Threat in China*

* Chinese rivals like BYD, Nio, and Xiaomi are expanding aggressively.

* Model Y sales facing heat despite being a bestseller.

4. *Mixed Sentiment on AI Hype*

* Grok-4 and FSD progress may excite some investors, but the earnings call needs to show *real monetization*, not just tech demos.

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✅ *Potential Upside Catalysts*

* Growth in *energy division* (battery storage and solar)

* Optimism around upcoming *Model Y L* and lower-cost EVs

* Elon Musk’s narrative power during earnings calls

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🎯 Expectation:

* Likely *soft financials* (EPS and revenue drop)

* Stock could dip short-term *unless future guidance* is strong or surprises investors with positive momentum in AI, margins, or energy.

*Verdict*: Expect *mixed-to-weak earnings*, with possible stock volatility depending on tone and forward-looking statements.

My bias opinion is wanting it to be bullish.