TMC_REGARD
07-24

$DBS(D05.SI)$ DBS Bank hitting an all-time high of S$49.21 is a milestone that’s got both long-term holders and new investors watching nervously as it marches toward that psychologically satisfying S$50 level. The move is impressive—up 16% year-to-date—though it pales in comparison to last year’s 52% surge. For Singapore’s heavyweight bank, the next steps are a mix of opportunity and risk, and the market is right to get a little twitchy near new highs.

As DBS approaches S$50, the biggest question is whether it can sustain this rally or if it’s due for a breather. Analysts are already waving caution flags about the bank’s elevated valuation, especially as its share price stretches further above book value. That’s not just technical nitpicking; it means expectations are high, and even small stumbles on earnings, loan quality, or NIM (net interest margin) could spark a pullback. With a huge loan book, DBS is more sensitive than ever to changes in interest rates or any whiff of credit risk in the region. Singapore’s property market and the broader Asian credit cycle will be closely watched.

In my view, a pullback after such a run wouldn’t be surprising, especially as some profit-taking is natural around record highs and round numbers like S$50. Short-term volatility is likely, particularly if global macro jitters resurface or if the bank’s results come in anything less than stellar. But for long-term investors—those who’ve held DBS through cycles—these dips tend to look more like opportunities than warnings. After all, DBS has built a reputation for resilience, innovation in digital banking, and steady dividend growth.

Personally, if I’d held DBS for several years, I’d be in the “hold and trim” camp at these levels—maybe taking a little off the table after a double-digit run, but not rushing for the exit. If you’re new to DBS, waiting for a pullback to start a position or add more could offer a better risk-reward. Either way, DBS’s climb to S$50 is a testament to its strength, but the next phase may test just how much further the stock can defy gravity before gravity inevitably tugs back.

DBS SGD50! UOB Misses: How Do You View Three Banks’ Earnings?
Singapore lender DBS maintains 2025 outlook, Q2 profit beats forecasts with 1% rise OCBC Q2 profit falls 7% to S$1.82 billion; to pay S$0.41 a share in dividends UOB Q2 profit drops 6% to $1.34 billion, missing forecast ------------ How to trade 3 banks post earnings? What's your earnings digest?
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Comments

  • snuggix
    07-25
    snuggix
    Exciting times ahead for DBS! 🚀 [Great]
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