Mig
07-28
great article BC 🙂
thanks for sharing
what's your take on Covered Calls EFTs that follow Crypto? 🤔
@Barcode$Strategy(MSTR)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2508(BTCmain)$ $CME Ether - main 2508(ETHmain)$ 🚀🌐📊 Ethereum Is Climbing, Bitcoin Is Coiling, and the Liquidity Wave Is Just Beginning 📊🌐🚀 I believe we’re standing at the edge of a decisive crypto expansion, where fundamentals, policy, and positioning are finally converging. But let’s be clear: this isn’t blind euphoria. It’s calculated momentum, and the next leg up won’t be slow. 🔍 Setup: $ETH is pushing toward the $4,000 magnet. Current price: $3,849.98 (+2.86%). RSI is firm at 86.15 on the weekly, and MACD continues its vertical lift with strong histogram confirmation. Volume profile shows acceptance above $3,700 and a liquidity vacuum up to $4,109 (previous high). Daily candles are tightening in a bull flag, and bulls have now defended the $3,700 shelf for five straight sessions. There’s no major resistance until the $4,400 zone. On the macro, $BTC is holding at $119,565.14, and while the move has been less explosive (+1.35%), it’s structurally significant. The monthly Bollinger Band is coiling, and we’re now seeing classic signs of contraction deceleration. Historically, that has preceded major expansions, like in late 2020. The upper band is now flattening just as price is pressing against it. If we get follow-through in August, the monthly BB expansion could trigger a volatility wave toward $132,000+. 📜 Fundamentals: The GENIUS Act in the 🇺🇸 United States is rewriting the rules of capital formation. By legalising stablecoins and opening the floodgates for real-world asset tokenization, Washington just handed Ethereum a long-term value driver. Asset managers can now tokenize real estate, venture capital funds, and even art, effectively creating liquid markets for traditionally illiquid assets. The kicker? All this runs on Ethereum. Why does this matter for price? Because the only way to pay for those transactions is in $ETH. This isn’t a “might benefit someday” scenario. It’s a structural, persistent, blockchain-native utility demand story. 🔥 Catalyst: Enter $BMNR and $SBET, leveraged Ether Treasury firms modeled after $MSTR but laser-focused on ETH. These companies raise capital solely to buy and hold ETH, turning into liquidity hoovers that amplify every leg up, and every leg down. This is leveraged commodity behavior. You print money in an uptrend; you incinerate it in a downtrend. These aren’t passive index bets. They are asymmetric, time-sensitive momentum trades, and the institutions behind them know exactly when to exit. The question is: will you? 📊 Chart Signals: • ETH: Weekly RSI at 86.15, MACD rising, 3EMA stack clean. $4,000 next test • BTC: Bullish if monthly closes above $123,278; upside to $132,000+ • ETH/BTC ratio breaking north, signaling alt strength into August rotation • Volume shelves: ETH holding $3,700, BTC eyeing breakout of $123,278.90 💼 Hedge Fund Sentiment: Bloomberg confirms Pantera, Galaxy, and a16z have increased ETH exposure through Q3, front-running GENIUS Act tailwinds. CME futures OI on ETH is near record levels. DeFi TVL is rising again. Stablecoin dominance is falling, indicating new risk-on appetite. 📈 Earnings Spotlight ~ $MSTR: I’m highly convinced that $MSTR is gearing up for a calculated volatility spike this week. It’s not just the 31Jul25 earnings date; it’s the relentless options flow precision that’s setting the tone. On Friday, over $17M hit the tape across the 420C, 425C, and 430C strikes. That’s not randomness. That’s orchestration. Technically, price just respected the 8 EMA on the weekly, closing above $402.20 with rising volume and a strong rejection wick. RSI remains constructive and the 21 EMA is curling upward. If $437 breaks, $489 becomes a magnet. More than 10 million calls have been traded on $MSTR as of last week. This isn’t just an earnings anticipation story; it’s a leveraged positioning play. Unusual whales are targeting short-dated expiries with institutional-sized size. This kind of flow has preceded several $MSTR rallies in past quarters. 🧠 Intellectual Edge: Forget the “forever hold” narrative. These setups are brilliant but brief. Leveraged single-asset treasuries distort price discovery on the way up and amplify drawdowns on the way down. You can’t value them on P/E or EBITDA; they’re purely NAV-driven. And NAV lives and dies on the chart. If you’re relying on fundamentals to tell you when to exit, you’ll be the last to leave the dance floor, and the first to provide liquidity to institutions cashing out. This is a game of timing, not belief. 📌 Anecdote: Imagine raising $500M to buy 120,000 ETH. It goes from $3,800 to $4,500 and your NAV explodes. Now picture it falling to $3,200. That fund just lost $156M, fast. These aren’t theoretical risks. They are how the 2022 cycle blew up half of crypto. Be early, be nimble, and above all, don’t be the exit liquidity. 🎯 Execution Plan: • Watching ETH reclaim $4,000: clean break unlocks $4,400 • BTC: Bullish momentum builds if August triggers BB expansion • MSTR: Pre-earnings flow supports breakout case into $489 if $437 clears • Risk rotates to microcaps after majors clear highs; $PENGU +4.85% is already a leading signal 📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀 Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀 @Tiger_comments @Tiger_Earnings @TigerPicks @TigerStars @TigerWire @Daily_Discussion @SPACE ROCKET
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Barcode
    07-28
    Barcode
    Great question, Mig. I think covered call ETFs tied to crypto like $BITO and $GLXY.CA with overlays are interesting for yield-focused plays, but they cap the upside hard, especially in a name like MSTR where the convexity from options flow is part of the alpha. If you’re bullish on crypto-volatility cycles, I’d rather lean into direct exposure or trade the options myself than collect 1–2% a month and miss a 30% breakout.
    • BarcodeReplyMig
      All good Mig, all the best!!! 🍀🍀🍀
    • Mig
      true 🙂
      maybe I'm letting those high yield dividends lure me to a trap 🤔
      thanks BC 🙂
  • Barcode
    07-28
    Barcode
    Thanks for reading Mig!
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